Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 17

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Hala Gryfia (Slupsk)


	Czarni Słupsk		Dąbrowa Górnicza

	1	2
	1.22	3.9	Watch
	1.48	2.35	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.35	2.97	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.32	3.24
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.7)	2.98 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czarni Słupsk
68.3%

Dąbrowa Górnicza
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czarni Słupsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Czarni Słupsk's performance.

Dąbrowa Górnicza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dąbrowa Górnicza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czarni Słupsk than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Czarni Słupsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dąbrowa Górnicza than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dąbrowa Górnicza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Czarni Słupsk - Dąbrowa Górnicza Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Czarni Słupsk will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Dąbrowa Górnicza will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Ivory D.	5. Zalucki A.
3. Penn J.	15. Peterka M.
18. Tomczak S.	7. Montgomery JR E.
2. Carter C.	14. Gray J.
1. Duffy J.	10. Musial J.
Substitutes
11. Lambrecht T.	32. Bogucki A.
25. Nowakowski M.	4. Piechowicz M.
12. Pluta J.	2. Wojdala J.
21. Skele A.	23. Wozny N.
9. Wilczek D.	6. Zablocki M.
8. Zabrocki C.
Coaches
. Stelmahers R.	. Gronek A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Czarni Słupsk won 3.

Recent form of Czarni Słupsk has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dąbrowa Górnicza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dąbrowa Górnicza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Czarni Słupsk won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1402:1380. (average 77.9:76.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Czarni Słupsk won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 643:613. (average 71.4:68.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Dabrowa Gornicza	1	1	0	89:78	2
12	Czarni Slupsk	1	0	1	76:79	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czarni Słupsk
Polish Basket Liga
17.01.26	Czarni Słupsk - Asseco Prokom Gdynia	76:90 ✺
08.01.26	GTK Gliwice - Czarni Słupsk	73:85 ✺
02.01.26	Czarni Słupsk - Górnik Wałbrzych	88:92 ✺
28.12.25	Trefl Sopot - Czarni Słupsk	97:61 ✺
23.12.25	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Czarni Słupsk	74:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza
Polish Basket Liga
16.01.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Toruń	90:79 ✺
10.01.26	Start Lublin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	81:78 ✺
03.01.26	Legia Warsaw - Dąbrowa Górnicza	84:63 ✺
29.12.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	102:93 OT ✺
23.12.25	Toruń - Dąbrowa Górnicza	93:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
04.10.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Czarni Słupsk	83:71
18.04.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Czarni Słupsk	91:90
21.12.24	Czarni Słupsk - Dąbrowa Górnicza	86:72
29.02.24	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Czarni Słupsk	77:84
05.12.23	Czarni Słupsk - Dąbrowa Górnicza	92:90
08.04.23	Czarni Słupsk - Dąbrowa Górnicza	83:74 OT
11.12.22	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Czarni Słupsk	95:94 OT (86:86)

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