Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 15

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Globus (Lublin)

Referee: Pacek P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Start Lublin		Dąbrowa Górnicza

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.46	2.42
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.49	2.53
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.52)	2.48 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Start Lublin
62.5%

Dąbrowa Górnicza
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Start Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Dąbrowa Górnicza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Start Lublin than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Start Lublin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dąbrowa Górnicza than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dąbrowa Górnicza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Start Lublin - Dąbrowa Górnicza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Dąbrowa Górnicza (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 - Dąbrowa Górnicza (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dąbrowa Górnicza (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ford Q.	0. Bonner D.
33. Frankamp C.	14. Gray J.
2. O'Reilly L.	7. Montgomery JR E.
19. Szymanski R.	10. Musial J.
1. Tokoto J.P.	15. Peterka M.
Substitutes
25. Griffin B.	32. Bogucki A.
0. Krasuski M.	11. Curry R.
7. Pelczar B.	8. Muhammad L.
21. Put F. (C)	4. Piechowicz M. (C)
5. Turewicz M.	2. Wojdala J.
6. Wright J.	23. Wozny N.
Coaches
. Kaminski W.	. Gronek A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Dąbrowa Górnicza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dąbrowa Górnicza has had a series of away games.

Lublin might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Lublin will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lublin won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1696:1697. (average 84.8:84.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lublin won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 989:986. (average 82.4:82.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Dabrowa Gornicza	1	1	0	89:78	2
13	Lublin	1	0	1	79:84	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Start Lublin
Polish Basket Liga
06.01.26	Start Lublin - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	83:74 ✺
03.01.26	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Start Lublin	75:87 ✺
27.12.25	GTK Gliwice - Start Lublin	95:93 ✺
20.12.25	Start Lublin - Górnik Wałbrzych	85:79 ✺
13.12.25	Start Lublin - Trefl Sopot	84:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLWL
- MKS Dąbrowa Górnicza
Polish Basket Liga
03.01.26	Legia Warsaw - Dąbrowa Górnicza	84:63 ✺
29.12.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	102:93 OT ✺
23.12.25	Toruń - Dąbrowa Górnicza	93:105 ✺
18.12.25	MOSiR Krosno - Dąbrowa Górnicza	92:87 OT ✺
14.12.25	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Dąbrowa Górnicza	92:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
29.03.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Start Lublin	82:101
01.12.24	Start Lublin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	95:81
28.01.24	Start Lublin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	114:102
12.10.23	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Start Lublin	112:87
Club Friendly Basketball
02.09.23	Start Lublin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	64:88
Polish Basket Liga
28.04.23	Start Lublin - Dąbrowa Górnicza	91:89
29.12.22	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Start Lublin	92:91

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