Match Info

NBA

Date: 3 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Germany	Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV1
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Dallas Mavericks		Boston Celtics

	1	2
	3.2	1.37	Watch
	3.05	1.38
	3.21	1.39
	3.37	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.27	1.4
	3.25	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.36)	1.37 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 223.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dallas Mavericks
30%

Boston Celtics
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dallas Mavericks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Boston Celtics has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dallas Mavericks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Celtics than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Dallas Mavericks - Boston Celtics Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Boston will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boston: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Boston (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 109:116

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Flagg C.	7. Brown J.
16. Martin Ca.	30. Hauser S.
21. Gafford D.	88. Queta N.
00. Christie M.	55. Scheierman B.
13. Marshall N.	9. White D.
Substitutes
30. Cisse M.	99. Boucher C.
1. Hardy J.	52. Garza L.
14. Kelly M.	28. Gonzalez H.
9. Nembhard R.	8. Minott J.
7. Powell D.	11. Pritchard P.
31. Thompson K.	26. Tillman X.
10. Williams B.	27. Walsh J.
Coaches
. Kidd J.	. Mazzulla J.

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 3.

Dallas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Boston is the team to beat.

There will not play in Dallas: Davis A. (Finger Injury) Exum D. (Knee Injury) Irving K. (Knee Injury) Lively D. (Foot Injury) Washington P. J. (Head Injury) Williams B. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Boston: Tatum J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 2098:2200. (average 104.9:110).

Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 966:979. (average 107.3:108.8).

Outrights of NBA for now

Boston Celtics: 5.45% Dallas Mavericks: 0.47%

Last Results with these Odds

Dallas Mavericks - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 28.05%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dallas Mavericks
NBA
31.01.26	Houston Rockets - Dallas Mavericks	111:107 ✺
29.01.26	Dallas Mavericks - Charlotte Hornets	121:123 ✺
28.01.26	Dallas Mavericks - Minnesota Timberwolves	105:118 ✺
24.01.26	Dallas Mavericks - Los Angeles Lakers	110:116 ✺
22.01.26	Dallas Mavericks - Golden State Warriors	123:115 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW
- Boston Celtics
NBA
01.02.26	Boston Celtics - Milwaukee Bucks	107:79 ✺
30.01.26	Boston Celtics - Sacramento Kings	112:93 ✺
28.01.26	Boston Celtics - Atlanta Hawks	106:117 ✺
26.01.26	Boston Celtics - Portland Trail Blazers	102:94 ✺
24.01.26	Chicago Bulls - Boston Celtics	114:111 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
06.02.25	Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks	120:127
25.01.25	Dallas Mavericks - Boston Celtics	107:122
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
19.07.24	Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks	90:101
NBA
17.06.24	Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks	106:88
14.06.24	Dallas Mavericks - Boston Celtics	122:84
12.06.24	Dallas Mavericks - Boston Celtics	99:106
09.06.24	Boston Celtics - Dallas Mavericks	105:98

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