Match Info
NBADate: 26 February 2026, ThursdayLocation: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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World | NBA Global League Pass |
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Dallas Mavericks |
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Sacramento Kings |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 234.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dallas Mavericks 72.3% | Sacramento Kings 27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dallas Mavericks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Sacramento Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacramento Kings than the current prediction. (+4.5%)Dallas Mavericks - Sacramento Kings Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Sacramento will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -7.5, OT - Dallas (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 121:113 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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16. Martin Ca.
| 10. DeRozan D.
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20. Middleton K.
| 9. Achiuwa P.
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35. Bagley M.
| 42. Raynaud M.
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00. Christie M.
| 5. Clifford N.
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13. Marshall N.
| 22. Carter D.
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| Substitutes |
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30. Cisse M.
| 23. Baldwin P.
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8. Johnson A.
| 32. Cardwell D.
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1. Jones T.
| 19. Eubanks D.
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14. Kelly M.
| 3. Hayes K.
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7. Powell D.
| 7. McDermott D.
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31. Thompson K.
| 0. Monk M.
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10. Williams B.
| 29. Plowden D.
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| Coaches |
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. Kidd J.
| . Christie D.
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Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 2.Recent performances by Dallas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Sacramento has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games. In this match, Dallas is the team to beat.There will not play in Dallas: Flagg C.
(Foot Injury)
Irving K.
(Knee Injury)
Lively D.
(Foot Injury)There will not play in Sacramento: Cardwell D.
(Ankle Injury)
Hunter D.
(Eye injury)
LaVine Z.
(Finger Injury)
Sabonis D.
(Lower Back Injury)There are questionable in Dallas: Middleton K.
(Shoulder Injury)
Washington P. J.
(Injury)There are questionable in Sacramento: Carter D.
(Back Injury)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2193:2205. (average 109.7:110.3).Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 895:942. (average 111.9:117.8).
Outrights of NBA for now
Dallas Mavericks: 0.47% Sacramento Kings: 0.15%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 06.01.26 | Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks | 98:100 | | 27.12.25 | Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks | 113:107 | | 16.04.25 | Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks | 106:120 | | 03.03.25 | Dallas Mavericks - Sacramento Kings | 98:122 | | 10.02.25 | Dallas Mavericks - Sacramento Kings | 128:129 OT | | 30.12.24 | Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks | 110:100 | | 29.03.24 | Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks | 103:107 |
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Upcoming Matches
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✺ - difficult match;