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Current Win Probability
Indiana Pacers 49.3%
Dallas Mavericks 50.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.1%
56.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
58.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indiana Pacers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Indiana Pacers's performance.
Dallas Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dallas Mavericks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indiana Pacers than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indiana Pacers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dallas Mavericks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75.8%
0%
24.2%
Indiana Pacers - Dallas Mavericks Predictions
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Indiana will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Dallas will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Indiana: 61.2% – 90.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 227.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 233.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -2, OT - Indiana (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Indiana Pacers will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Indiana (votes: 12 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 117:119
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
5. Walker J.
13. Marshall N.
. Siakam P.
25. Washington P. J.
32. Huff J.
21. Gafford D.
7. Jones K.
20. Middleton K.
2. Nembhard A.
00. Christie M.
Coaches
. Carlisle R.
. Kidd J.
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 4.
Recent performances by Indiana have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Dallas is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Indiana: Furphy J.
(Knee Injury)
Haliburton T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nembhard A.
(Back Injury)
Nesmith A.
(Ankle Injury)
Siakam P.
(Personal Reasons)
Toppin O.
(Foot Injury)
Zubac I.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Dallas: Christie M.
(Ankle Injury)
Flagg C.
(Foot Injury)
Irving K.
(Knee Injury)
Lively D.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Indiana: Jones K.
(Back Injury)
Potter M.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Indiana won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2216:2242. (average 110.8:112.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Indiana won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 989:1007. (average 109.9:111.9).
Outrights of NBA for now
Indiana Pacers: 2.03% Dallas Mavericks: 0.47%
Last Results with these Odds
Indiana Pacers - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 43.15%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.