Match Info

POLAND: 1. LIGA - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr 1 w Pelplinie (Pelplin)


	Decka Pelplin		Dziki Warszawa

	1	2
	2	1.7
	2.08	1.7
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	1.9	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.75)	1.73 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Decka Pelplin
46.3%

Dziki Warszawa
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Decka Pelplin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Decka Pelplin's form might have worsened.

Dziki Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dziki Warszawa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Decka Pelplin than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Decka Pelplin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dziki Warszawa than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dziki Warszawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Decka Pelplin - Dziki Warszawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:77

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Preview

3rd leg. Dziki Warszawa leads series 2-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Decka Pelplin won 1.

Recent matches Decka Pelplin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dziki Warszawa is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Decka Pelplin have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Dziki Warszawa to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Decka Pelplin won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 576-620.

Including matches at home between the teams Decka Pelplin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 206-219.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Decka Pelplin
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
16.04.23	Dziki Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	82:69 ✺
15.04.23	Dziki Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	85:73 ✺
01.04.23	KS AGH Kraków - Decka Pelplin	84:88 ✺
26.03.23	Decka Pelplin - WKK Wrocław	77:72 ✺
19.03.23	Basket Poznań - Decka Pelplin	61:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLWWW
- Dziki Warszawa
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
16.04.23	Dziki Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	82:69 ✺
15.04.23	Dziki Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	85:73 ✺
05.04.23	Dziki Warszawa - Polonia Bytom	91:90 ✺
29.03.23	HydroTruck Radom - Dziki Warszawa	63:91 ✺
26.03.23	MKKS Koszalin - Dziki Warszawa	82:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
16.04.23	Dziki Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	82:69
15.04.23	Dziki Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	85:73
01.03.23	Decka Pelplin - Dziki Warszawa	62:73
21.12.22	Dziki Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	90:93 OT (82:82)
30.03.22	Decka Pelplin - Dziki Warszawa	52:72
15.12.21	Dziki Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	71:65
13.03.21	Dziki Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	73:70

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