Match Info

1. Liga - Round 30

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr 1 w Pelplinie (Pelplin)

Referee: Malczewska M. (Pol)


	Decka Pelplin		Noteć Inowrocław

	1	2
	1.24	3.4	Watch
	1.27	3.33
	1.31	3.06	Watch
	1.29	3.25
	1.31	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)	3.24 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Decka Pelplin
71.6%

Noteć Inowrocław
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Decka Pelplin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Noteć Inowrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Decka Pelplin than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Decka Pelplin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noteć Inowrocław than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noteć Inowrocław could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Decka Pelplin - Noteć Inowrocław Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Coke-Domingue J.	5. Frye D.
84. Kuzkow P.	2. Mitrovic L.
12. Nagel M.	23. Rompa S.
99. Siewruk F.	6. Sobiech S. (C)
1. Toczek M.	9. Trubacz R.
Substitutes
88. Bekarciak B.	7. Ciesielski D.
4. Durski D.	11. Czujkowski A.
6. Gurtatowski F.	1. Grzesiak M.
18. Konopatzki M.	34. Harris D.
10. Ratajczak M. (C)	3. Lis P.
25. Rudzinski O.	91. Stryjewski F.
96. Szczepanski O.	4. Styczen M.
Coaches
. Knap R.	. Szubarga K.

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Decka Pelplin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Decka Pelplin has had a series of away games.

In this match, Decka Pelplin is a strong favorite.

We predict that Decka Pelplin will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Decka Pelplin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 350:299. (average 87.5:74.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Decka Pelplin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 178:145. (average 89:72.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Pelplin	4	2	2	337:344	6
9	Inowroclaw	3	2	1	242:218	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Decka Pelplin
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
21.03.26	Żubry Białystok - Decka Pelplin	84:91 ✺
15.03.26	Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	93:80 ✺
07.03.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Decka Pelplin	104:81 ✺
01.03.26	Decka Pelplin - Polonia 1912 Leszno	82:75 ✺
22.02.26	Politechnika Opolska - Decka Pelplin	83:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW
- KSK Noteć Inowrocław
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
25.03.26	Noteć Inowrocław - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	95:71 ✺
22.03.26	Noteć Inowrocław - Polonia Warszawa	79:67 ✺
13.03.26	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Noteć Inowrocław	72:66 ✺
07.03.26	Noteć Inowrocław - Sokol Lancut	87:101 ✺
28.02.26	GKS Tychy - Noteć Inowrocław	110:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
07.12.25	Noteć Inowrocław - Decka Pelplin	78:99
15.01.25	Decka Pelplin - Noteć Inowrocław	78:74
09.10.24	Noteć Inowrocław - Decka Pelplin	76:73
Club Friendly Basketball
01.09.23	Decka Pelplin - Noteć Inowrocław	100:71

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