Match Info

1. Liga - Round 11

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr 1 w Pelplinie (Pelplin)


	Decka Pelplin		Polonia Warszawa

	1	2
	1.28	3.28
	1.54	2.19	Watch
	1.31	3.15
	1.43	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)	2.77 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Decka Pelplin
66.5%

Polonia Warszawa
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Decka Pelplin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Decka Pelplin's performance.

Polonia Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polonia Warszawa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Decka Pelplin than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Decka Pelplin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warszawa than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Warszawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Decka Pelplin - Polonia Warszawa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Polonia Warszawa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Coke-Domingue J.	32. Duda M.
6. Gurtatowski F.	0. Malesa J. (C)
18. Konopatzki M.	33. Robinson S.
84. Kuzkow P.	4. Sewiol V.
12. Nagel M.	10. Trzybinski B.
Substitutes
88. Bekarciak B.	12. Borowski S.
10. Ratajczak M. (C)	88. Poradzki F.
25. Rudzinski O.	30. Truszczynski P.
99. Siewruk F.	93. Witkowski I.
97. Stubba B.	13. Zalewski J.
96. Szczepanski O.
1. Toczek M.
Coaches
. Knap R.	. Torrescusa-Jimenez D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Decka Pelplin won 2.

Decka Pelplin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Polonia Warszawa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Decka Pelplin might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Decka Pelplin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 467:452. (average 77.8:75.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Decka Pelplin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 249:226. (average 83:75.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Decka Pelplin
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
15.11.25	Decka Pelplin - Astoria Bydgoszcz	68:85 ✺
09.11.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Decka Pelplin	95:86 ✺
02.11.25	Decka Pelplin - Politechnika Opolska	94:77 ✺
25.10.25	Sokol Lancut - Decka Pelplin	77:70 ✺
19.10.25	Decka Pelplin - ŁKS Łódź	83:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW
- Polonia Warszawa Basketball
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
15.11.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Polonia Warszawa	83:57 ✺
08.11.25	Polonia Warszawa - Sokol Lancut	108:96 ✺
31.10.25	GKS Tychy - Polonia Warszawa	80:87 ✺
26.10.25	Polonia Warszawa - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	86:77 ✺
19.10.25	Miners Katowice - Polonia Warszawa	91:94 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
02.03.25	Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	71:69
16.11.24	Decka Pelplin - Polonia Warszawa	89:85
06.04.24	Decka Pelplin - Polonia Warszawa	81:82
23.12.23	Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	76:77 OT
18.01.23	Polonia Warszawa - Decka Pelplin	79:72
08.10.22	Decka Pelplin - Polonia Warszawa	79:59

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