Match Info

South American League - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Defensor Sporting		Olimpia Kings

	1	2
			Watch
	1.51	2.31
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.76	1.93
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.71)	1.94 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
50.8%

Olimpia Kings
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensor Sporting's performance.

Olimpia Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia Kings might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensor Sporting that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Kings than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olimpia Kings could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Defensor Sporting - Olimpia Kings Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Carrera M.	0. Franca J.
43. Colmenares N.	21. Hinkle C.
77. Soto F.	5. Martinez J.
15. Terra F.	31. Peralta A.
3. Weaver E.	9. Purifoy D.
Substitutes
9. Antunes M.	10. Espinoza P.
45. Bianchi M.	69. Gomez T.
11. Gomez B.	7. Mercado R.
23. MacMullen M.	3. Ochipinti V.
00. Metzger T.	8. Riveros E.
21. Wright D.	6. Talavera A.
13. Zubiaurre M.	23. Wood J.
Coaches
. Brea G.	. Martinez J.

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Defensor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Defensor has had a series of away games.

In this match, Olimpia Kings is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Defensor Sporting
Basketball South American League
06.12.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Defensor Sporting	80:65 ✺
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
20.11.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	85:72 ✺
Basketball South American League
16.11.25	Defensor Sporting - Corinthians Paulista	75:66 ✺
15.11.25	Regatas Corrientes - Defensor Sporting	72:56 ✺
14.11.25	Deportivo San José - Defensor Sporting	54:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLW
- Olimpia Kings
Basketball South American League
06.12.25	Regatas Corrientes - Olimpia Kings	64:62 ✺
Paraguayan LNB Basketball
27.11.25	Olimpia Kings - Colonias Gold	90:85 ✺
20.11.25	Deportivo San José - Olimpia Kings	64:76 ✺
14.11.25	Olimpia Kings - Félix Pérez Cardozo	93:67 ✺
Basketball South American League
09.11.25	Olimpia Kings - Ferro Carril Oeste	75:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL

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