Match Info

Liga Uruguaya

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Welcome (Montevideo)


	Defensor Sporting		Welcome

	1	2
			Watch
	1.02	7.75
	1.03	8.65
	1.04	8.1	Watch
	1.04	9
	1.01	10.2	Watch
	1.02	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↓ (1.06)	9.12 ↑ (7.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-19)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
89.9%

Welcome
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Welcome has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Defensor Sporting - Welcome Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Bianchi M.	5. Barrera Gustavo .
00. Metzger T.	22. Hassan R.
77. Soto F. (C)	11. Moglia S. (C)
15. Terra F.	31. Pena A.
3. Weaver E.	10. Stoll J.
Substitutes
9. Antunes M.	24. Arevalo A.
27. Cuervo M.	12. Garcia F.
11. Gomez B.	1. McEvans C.
23. MacMullen M.	25. Pena D.
1. Rodriguez G.	7. Previatti R.
21. Wright D.	86. Segui T.
13. Zubiaurre M.	34. Sosa F.
Coaches
. Brea G.	. Ortega I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 3.

Defensor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Welcome has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Welcome may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Defensor is the obvious favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 986:950. (average 89.6:86.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 370:332. (average 92.5:83).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Defensor Sporting
Basketball South American League
07.12.25	Defensor Sporting - Olimpia Kings	98:63 ✺
06.12.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Defensor Sporting	80:65 ✺
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
20.11.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	85:72 ✺
Basketball South American League
16.11.25	Defensor Sporting - Corinthians Paulista	75:66 ✺
15.11.25	Regatas Corrientes - Defensor Sporting	72:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWL
- CA Welcome
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
09.12.25	Welcome - Urunday Universitario	63:102 ✺
04.12.25	Welcome - Biguá	86:98 ✺
14.11.25	Welcome - Goes	73:83 ✺
10.11.25	Aguada - Welcome	112:82 ✺
06.11.25	Hebraica y Macabi - Welcome	96:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Liga Basketball
07.02.25	Defensor Sporting - Welcome	112:77
05.12.24	Welcome - Defensor Sporting	111:120 OT
04.02.19	Welcome - Defensor Sporting	82:90 OT (75:75)
19.11.18	Defensor Sporting - Welcome	86:98
09.03.18	Welcome - Defensor Sporting	92:85
30.01.18	Defensor Sporting - Welcome	86:101
10.11.17	Welcome - Defensor Sporting	102:82

Defensor Sporting - Welcome: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide