Match Info

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday


	Deportes Castro		Deportivo Valdivia

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.85
	1.87	1.79	Watch
	1.96	1.86
	1.96	1.86
	1.91	1.8
	1.93	1.79
	1.9	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.92)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Castro
48.8%

Deportivo Valdivia
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Deportivo Valdivia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Castro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Valdivia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Deportes Castro - Deportivo Valdivia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Correa C.	77. Carrasco E. (C)
3. De Leon A.	3. Lloyd S.
5. Jackson J. L. S.	4. Rivero J.
26. Perdomo M.	15. Russell Jr. D.
17. Silva S.	14. Soto C.
Substitutes
14. Barria O. (C)	2. Fehrmann B.
10. Correa V.	0. Larsen Elortondo E.
77. Diaz L.	6. Sandoval P.
12. Hernandez V.	23. Segovia C.
20. Niklistchek P.	8. Soulodre S.
13. Rodriguez J.	22. Tognon L.
	1. Ugalde M.
Coaches
. Hiriart L.	. Schamberger G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Castro won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Deportivo Valdivia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Deportes Castro won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1479-1507.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Castro won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 780-751.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Castro
Chilean LNB
30.03.24	Deportes Castro - Liceo Pablo Neruda	84:52 ✺
23.03.24	Puente Alto - Deportes Castro	87:64 ✺
22.03.24	Sportiva Italiana - Deportes Castro	95:81 ✺
16.03.24	Deportes Castro - Ancud	73:75 ✺
09.03.24	Ancud - Deportes Castro	84:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Deportivo Valdivia Basketball
Chilean LNB
30.03.24	Ancud - Deportivo Valdivia	80:74 ✺
24.03.24	Deportivo Valdivia - Universidad De Concepción	82:105 ✺
23.03.24	Deportivo Valdivia - Español de Talca	98:65 ✺
17.03.24	Espanol Osorno - Deportivo Valdivia	87:70 ✺
16.03.24	Las Animas - Deportivo Valdivia	91:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB
10.02.24	Deportivo Valdivia - Deportes Castro	79:88
Chilean Copa Basketball
18.11.23	Deportes Castro - Deportivo Valdivia	65:80
Chilean LNB
23.04.23	Deportivo Valdivia - Deportes Castro	81:77
11.02.23	Deportes Castro - Deportivo Valdivia	79:77
15.04.22	Deportivo Valdivia - Deportes Castro	74:60
30.03.22	Deportes Castro - Deportivo Valdivia	63:71
01.02.20	Deportivo Valdivia - Deportes Castro	88:69

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