Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Derthona Basket Tortona		Fortitudo Bologna

	1	2
	1.37	3.2	Watch
	1.36	2.95
	1.33	3.35	Watch
	1.34	3.1
	1.37	3.28
	1.35	3.3	Watch
	1.38	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	3.2 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona Basket Tortona
70.2%

Fortitudo Bologna
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Fortitudo Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortitudo Bologna than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Derthona Basket Tortona - Fortitudo Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: Derthona Basket Tortona will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:78

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Preview

Recent matches Tortona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fortitudo Bologna is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tortona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tortona is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
20.11.21	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	85:76 ✺
14.11.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Dinamo Sassari	95:89 ✺
07.11.21	Napoli Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona	82:79 ✺
30.10.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Virtus Bologna	93:76 ✺
24.10.21	Trieste - Derthona Basket Tortona	88:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWL
- Fortitudo Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
21.11.21	Basket Trento - Fortitudo Bologna	84:77 ✺
14.11.21	Fortitudo Bologna - Venezia	77:91 ✺
07.11.21	Fortitudo Bologna - Treviso Basket	83:70 ✺
31.10.21	Basket Brescia - Fortitudo Bologna	97:81 ✺
23.10.21	Fortitudo Bologna - Olimpia Milano	75:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLL

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