Match Info

Lega A - Round 17

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: PalaBarbuto (Naples)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Napoli Basket		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
			Watch
	1.68	2.12	Watch
	1.69	2.17
	1.7	2.1
	1.71	2.15
	1.7	2.21	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.74)	2.14 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli Basket
55.9%

Derthona Basket Tortona
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Derthona Basket Tortona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Napoli Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Bolton R.	4. Gorham J.
8. Croswell E.	5. Manjon E.
1. Flagg S.	17. Olejniczak D.
3. Mitrou-Long N.	12. Strautins A.
25. Simms A.	1. Vital C.
Substitutes
30. Caruso G.	13. Baldasso T.
5. El Amin I.	19. Biligha P.
10. Faggian L.	7. Chapman B.
22. Gentile S.	3. Hubb P.
14. Gloria M.	6. Pecchia A.
11. Saccoccia S.	25. Riismaa J.
18. Treier K.	11. Tandia L.
Coaches
. Magro A.	. Fioretti M.

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1166:1188. (average 77.7:79.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli Basket won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 566:528. (average 80.9:75.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Basket Napoli	2	2	0	193:168	4
10	Tortona	2	1	1	171:201	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.01.26	Dinamo Sassari - Napoli Basket	78:84 ✺
12.01.26	Napoli Basket - Olimpia Milano	71:77 ✺
03.01.26	Varese - Napoli Basket	84:80 ✺
28.12.25	Napoli Basket - Cantù	98:86 ✺
21.12.25	Venezia - Napoli Basket	106:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWL
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.01.26	Derthona Basket Tortona - Olimpia Milano	78:87 ✺
11.01.26	Basket Brescia - Derthona Basket Tortona	92:86 ✺
04.01.26	Cantù - Derthona Basket Tortona	79:85 ✺
28.12.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Reggiana	81:67 ✺
21.12.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Derthona Basket Tortona	71:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
02.11.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Napoli Basket	87:76
04.05.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Napoli Basket	82:89
04.01.25	Napoli Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona	92:83
10.03.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Napoli Basket	97:72
30.12.23	Napoli Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona	81:76
23.04.23	Napoli Basket - Derthona Basket Tortona	82:69
27.11.22	Derthona Basket Tortona - Napoli Basket	74:73

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