The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trieste 57.7%
Derthona Basket Tortona 42.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.6%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
48%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trieste's performance.
Derthona Basket Tortona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derthona Basket Tortona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trieste that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derthona Basket Tortona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +3.5, OT - Tortona (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tortona (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:86
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Brown M.
4. Gorham J.
37. Ramsey J.
3. Hubb P.
4. Ross C.
17. Olejniczak D.
11. Sissoko M.
25. Riismaa J.
9. Uthoff J.
1. Vital C.
Substitutes
23. Brooks J.
13. Baldasso T.
13. Candussi F.
19. Biligha P.
8. Deangeli L.
7. Chapman B.
18. Iannuzzi P.
10. Di Meo E.
25. Moretti D.
6. Pecchia A.
10. Ruzzier M.
12. Strautins A.
1. Toscano-Anderson J.
11. Tandia L.
Coaches
. Gonzalez I.
. Fioretti M.
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 2.
Trieste has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tortona is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Tortona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tortona has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 985:978. (average 75.8:75.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Trieste won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 537:517. (average 76.7:73.9).
Watch
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Brown M. 
Olejniczak D. 
Sissoko M. 
Riismaa J. 
Brooks J. 
Strautins A. 
Gonzalez I. 
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