Match Info

NBA

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Arena CDMX (Mexico City)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	Sky Sport Top Event
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Detroit Pistons		Dallas Mavericks

	1	2
	1.34	3.35	Watch
	1.35	3.4
	1.37	3.04	Watch
			Watch
	1.37	3.42
	1.32	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.67)	3.34 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 226.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit Pistons
71.2%

Dallas Mavericks
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit Pistons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Detroit Pistons's performance.

Dallas Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dallas Mavericks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Pistons than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Detroit Pistons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Mavericks than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dallas Mavericks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Detroit Pistons - Dallas Mavericks Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Dallas will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Dallas (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -8, OT - Detroit (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 224.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 55, 3Q - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +10.5, OT - Dallas (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

H/A, 4Q - Detroit (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 3Q - Detroit (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1Q - Detroit (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Detroit (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 4Q - Detroit (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 3Q - Detroit (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2Q - Detroit (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1Q - Detroit (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Detroit (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Detroit (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 108.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 18 - 75%). Dallas (votes: 6 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 117:109

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Thompson A.	00. Christie M.
12. Harris T.	25. Washington P. J.
0. Duren J.	21. Gafford D.
55. Robinson D.	31. Thompson K.
2. Cunningham C.	32. Flagg C.
Substitutes
31. Green J.	30. Cisse M.
5. Holland R.	1. Hardy J.
24. Jenkins D.	13. Marshall N.
34. Klintman B.	16. Martin Ca.
20. Lanier C.	9. Nembhard R.
8. LeVert C.	7. Powell D.
7. Reed P.	5. Russell D.
28. Stewart I.	10. Williams B.
Coaches
. Bickerstaff J.	. Kidd J.

Preview

NBA Global Games. Neutral location - Arena CDMX.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Dallas has had a series of home games.

In this match, Detroit is the team to beat.

There will not play in Detroit: Ivey J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Dallas: Exum D. (Knee Injury) Irving K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Detroit: Sasser M. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Dallas: Davis A. (Leg Injury) Gafford D. (Ankle Injury) Lively D. (Knee Injury) Russell D. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Detroit will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 2135:2204. (average 106.8:110.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1210:1223. (average 110:111.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Dallas Mavericks - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 41.34%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit Pistons
NBA
29.10.25	Detroit Pistons - Orlando Magic	135:116 ✺
27.10.25	Detroit Pistons - Cleveland Cavaliers	95:116 ✺
26.10.25	Detroit Pistons - Boston Celtics	119:113 ✺
24.10.25	Houston Rockets - Detroit Pistons	111:115 ✺
22.10.25	Chicago Bulls - Detroit Pistons	115:111 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWWL
- Dallas Mavericks
NBA
29.10.25	Dallas Mavericks - Indiana Pacers	107:105 ✺
27.10.25	Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder	94:101 ✺
26.10.25	Dallas Mavericks - Toronto Raptors	139:129 ✺
24.10.25	Dallas Mavericks - Washington Wizards	107:117 ✺
22.10.25	Dallas Mavericks - San Antonio Spurs	92:125 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
21.03.25	Dallas Mavericks - Detroit Pistons	123:117
31.01.25	Detroit Pistons - Dallas Mavericks	117:102
12.04.24	Dallas Mavericks - Detroit Pistons	89:107
09.03.24	Detroit Pistons - Dallas Mavericks	124:142
20.10.23	Dallas Mavericks - Detroit Pistons	114:104
30.01.23	Dallas Mavericks - Detroit Pistons	111:105
01.12.22	Detroit Pistons - Dallas Mavericks	131:125 OT (117:117)

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