Match Info
NBADate: 1 March 2026, SundayLocation: American Airlines Center (Dallas, TX)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3 |
 World | NBA Global League Pass |
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Dallas Mavericks |
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Oklahoma City Thunder |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 237.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)
- The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dallas Mavericks
11.5% | Oklahoma City Thunder
88.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dallas Mavericks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Oklahoma City Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Oklahoma City will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oklahoma City (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +20, OT - Dallas (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -14.5, OT - Oklahoma City (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 1 - 25%). Oklahoma City (votes: 3 - 75%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 111:127 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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20.  Middleton K.
| 5.  Dort L.
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16. Martin Ca.
| 7. Holmgren C.
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21. Gafford D.
| 55.  Hartenstein I.
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00. Christie M.
| 22. Wallace C.
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10. Williams B.
| 2. Gilgeous-Alexander S.
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| Coaches |
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. Kidd J.
| . Daigneault M.
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Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 3.Recent performances by Dallas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Oklahoma City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Dallas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Oklahoma City is the obvious favorite.There will not play in Dallas: Bagley M.
(Head Injury)
Flagg C.
(Foot Injury)
Irving K.
(Knee Injury)
Lively D.
(Foot Injury)There will not play in Oklahoma City: Carlson B.
(Back Injury)
Mitchell A.
(Abdominal strain)
Sorber T.
(Knee Injury)
Williams J.
(Hamstring Injury)There are questionable in Dallas: Martin Ca.
(Back Injury)
Washington P. J.
(Injury)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2138:2205. (average 106.9:110.3).Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 969:930. (average 107.7:103.3).
Outrights of NBA for now
Oklahoma City Thunder: 21.48% Dallas Mavericks: 0.47%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 05.12.25 | Oklahoma City Thunder - Dallas Mavericks | 132:111 | | 27.10.25 | Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder | 94:101 | | 06.10.25 | Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder | 106:89 | | 23.01.25 | Oklahoma City Thunder - Dallas Mavericks | 115:121 | | 17.01.25 | Dallas Mavericks - Oklahoma City Thunder | 106:98 | | 10.12.24 | Oklahoma City Thunder - Dallas Mavericks | 118:104 | | 17.11.24 | Oklahoma City Thunder - Dallas Mavericks | 119:121 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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