Match Info
NBADate: 23 January 2026, FridayLocation: Little Caesars Arena (Detroit, MI)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Finland | Veikkaus TV |
World | NBA Global League Pass |
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Detroit Pistons |
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Houston Rockets |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.59 |
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2.45 |
Watch |
 |
1.56 |
|
2.48 |
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 |
1.6 |
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2.61 |
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 |
1.59 |
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2.49 |
Watch |
 |
1.53 |
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2.4 |
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 |
1.59 |
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2.55 |
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 |
1.55 |
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2.5 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.57 ↓ (1.67) |
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2.5 ↑ (2.23) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 217.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Detroit Pistons 61.4% | Houston Rockets 38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Detroit Pistons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Houston Rockets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Pistons than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Detroit Pistons that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Rockets than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Houston Rockets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. bannerPredictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Houston will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 21.7% – 78.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1, 4Q - Detroit (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -2, 2nd Half - Detroit (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- H/A, 1Q - Detroit (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- H/A, 1st Half - Detroit (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +3.5, OT - Houston (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Houston (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 111:107 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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9. Thompson A.
| 7. Durant K.
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12. Harris T.
| 10. Smith Jr. J.
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0. Duren J.
| 28. Sengun A.
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55. Robinson D.
| 20. Okogie J.
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2. Cunningham C.
| 1. Thompson A.
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| Substitutes |
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31. Green J.
| 30. Capela C.
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5. Holland R.
| 27. Crawford I.
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23. Ivey J.
| 4. Davison J.
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24. Jenkins D.
| 32. Green Je.
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34. Klintman B.
| 0. Holiday A.
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20. Lanier C.
| 15. Sheppard R.
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7. Reed P.
| 8. Tate J.
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25. Sasser M.
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28. Stewart I.
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| Coaches |
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. Bickerstaff J.
| . Udoka I.
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 4.Detroit is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Houston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Houston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games. Detroit could have a small edge in this match.There will not play in Houston: Adams S.
(Ankle Injury)
VanVleet F.
(Knee Injury)There are questionable in Detroit: Cunningham C.
(Illness)
LeVert C.
(Illness)There are questionable in Houston: Holiday A.
(Back Injury)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2143:2142. (average 107.2:107.1).Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 756:761. (average 108:108.7).
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Last Results with these Odds
Detroit Pistons - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 57.2%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 24.10.25 | Houston Rockets - Detroit Pistons | 111:115 | | NBA Las Vegas Summer League | | | 13.07.25 | Houston Rockets - Detroit Pistons | 83:98 | | NBA | | | 20.01.25 | Houston Rockets - Detroit Pistons | 96:107 | | 10.11.24 | Detroit Pistons - Houston Rockets | 99:101 | | NBA Las Vegas Summer League | | | 15.07.24 | Houston Rockets - Detroit Pistons | 73:87 | | NBA | | | 12.01.24 | Detroit Pistons - Houston Rockets | 110:112 | | 01.01.24 | Houston Rockets - Detroit Pistons | 136:113 |
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