Match Info

NBA

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Little Caesars Arena (Detroit, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Detroit Pistons		Houston Rockets

	1	2
	1.59	2.45	Watch
	1.56	2.48
	1.6	2.61
	1.59	2.49	Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.59	2.55
	1.55	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)	2.5 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 217.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit Pistons
61.4%

Houston Rockets
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit Pistons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Houston Rockets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Pistons than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Detroit Pistons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Rockets than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Houston Rockets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Detroit Pistons - Houston Rockets Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Houston will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1, 4Q - Detroit (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2, 2nd Half - Detroit (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

H/A, 1Q - Detroit (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Detroit (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5, OT - Houston (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Detroit (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Houston (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 111:107

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Thompson A.	7. Durant K.
12. Harris T.	10. Smith Jr. J.
0. Duren J.	28. Sengun A.
55. Robinson D.	20. Okogie J.
2. Cunningham C.	1. Thompson A.
Substitutes
31. Green J.	30. Capela C.
5. Holland R.	27. Crawford I.
23. Ivey J.	4. Davison J.
24. Jenkins D.	32. Green Je.
34. Klintman B.	0. Holiday A.
20. Lanier C.	15. Sheppard R.
7. Reed P.	8. Tate J.
25. Sasser M.
28. Stewart I.
Coaches
. Bickerstaff J.	. Udoka I.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 4.

Detroit is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Houston has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Houston may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Detroit could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Houston: Adams S. (Ankle Injury) VanVleet F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Detroit: Cunningham C. (Illness) LeVert C. (Illness)

There are questionable in Houston: Holiday A. (Back Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2143:2142. (average 107.2:107.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 756:761. (average 108:108.7).

Outrights of NBA for now

Detroit Pistons: 3.14% Houston Rockets: 1.79%

Last Results with these Odds

Houston Rockets - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.8%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit Pistons
NBA
21.01.26	New Orleans Pelicans - Detroit Pistons	104:112 ✺
19.01.26	Detroit Pistons - Boston Celtics	104:103 ✺
17.01.26	Detroit Pistons - Indiana Pacers	121:78 ✺
15.01.26	Detroit Pistons - Phoenix Suns	108:105 ✺
10.01.26	Detroit Pistons - Los Angeles Clippers	92:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL
- Houston Rockets
NBA
22.01.26	Philadelphia 76ers - Houston Rockets	128:122 OT ✺
20.01.26	Houston Rockets - San Antonio Spurs	111:106 ✺
18.01.26	Houston Rockets - New Orleans Pelicans	119:110 ✺
16.01.26	Houston Rockets - Minnesota Timberwolves	110:105 ✺
15.01.26	Houston Rockets - Oklahoma City Thunder	91:111 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NBA
24.10.25	Houston Rockets - Detroit Pistons	111:115
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
13.07.25	Houston Rockets - Detroit Pistons	83:98
NBA
20.01.25	Houston Rockets - Detroit Pistons	96:107
10.11.24	Detroit Pistons - Houston Rockets	99:101
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
15.07.24	Houston Rockets - Detroit Pistons	73:87
NBA
12.01.24	Detroit Pistons - Houston Rockets	110:112
01.01.24	Houston Rockets - Detroit Pistons	136:113

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