Match Info

NCAA

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday


	Duquesne Dukes		Dayton Flyers

	1	2
	2.25	1.67
	2.18	1.63
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.66
	2.09	1.69
	2.3	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.29)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duquesne Dukes
42.9%

Dayton Flyers
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duquesne Dukes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Dayton Flyers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duquesne Dukes than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dayton Flyers than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Duquesne Dukes - Dayton Flyers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:78

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duquesne won 1.

In recent matches, Duquesne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dayton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Dayton has had a series of home games.

Dayton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Duquesne won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1274:1472. (average 63.7:73.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Duquesne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 566:645. (average 62.9:71.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duquesne Dukes basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.01.26	Saint Josephs Hawks - Duquesne Dukes	97:90 OT ✺
03.01.26	Duquesne Dukes - Virginia Commonwealth Rams	80:93 ✺
30.12.25	Davidson Wildcats - Duquesne Dukes	83:89 OT ✺
22.12.25	Duquesne Dukes - Canisius Golden Griffins	103:59 ✺
13.12.25	Nevada Wolf Pack - Duquesne Dukes	78:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWWL
- Dayton Flyers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
06.01.26	Dayton Flyers - George Washington Colonials	79:72 ✺
03.01.26	Loyola IL Ramblers - Dayton Flyers	68:70 ✺
31.12.25	Dayton Flyers - Fordham Rams	63:56 ✺
20.12.25	Dayton Flyers - Liberty Flames	61:64 ✺
16.12.25	Dayton Flyers - Florida State Seminoles	97:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
15.02.25	Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes	77:76
21.01.25	Duquesne Dukes - Dayton Flyers	62:82
14.03.24	Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes	57:65
13.02.24	Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes	75:59
12.01.24	Duquesne Dukes - Dayton Flyers	62:72
28.12.22	Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes	69:57
09.02.22	Dayton Flyers - Duquesne Dukes	75:54

Duquesne Dukes - Dayton Flyers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide