Match Info

FRANCE: LFB Women - Round 8

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Le Palacium (Villeneuve d'Ascq)


	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq		Tarbes Gespe Bigorre

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.49	2.38	Watch
	1.47	2.5
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.55	2.34
	1.49	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.73)	2.36 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 142.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ESB Villeneuve-dAscq
60.9%

Tarbes Gespe Bigorre
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ESB Villeneuve-dAscq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ESB Villeneuve-dAscq's performance.

Tarbes Gespe Bigorre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tarbes Gespe Bigorre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ESB Villeneuve-dAscq than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ESB Villeneuve-dAscq that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarbes Gespe Bigorre than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tarbes Gespe Bigorre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ESB Villeneuve dAscq - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:69

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Bone K.	7. Droguet C. (C)
6. Heriaud C. (C)	25. Fora N.
0. Leite C.	11. Musa M.
7. Peters H.	17. Sivka A.
1. Zellous S.	13. Zodia J.
Substitutes
2. Foppossi M.	21. Barahman R.
31. Gueye A.	77. Miyem E.
13. Hirsch M.	9. Monasse L.
5. Kouadio N. A.	8. Strunc I.
8. Lutbert E.
74. Paget M.
32. Slonjsak I.
Coaches
. Meziane R.	. Gomez F.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches ESB Villeneuve-dAscq won 4.

Recent matches ESB Villeneuve-dAscq is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tarbes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tarbes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tarbes have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches ESB Villeneuve-dAscq won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1335:1196 (average 70.3:62.9).

Including matches at home between the teams ESB Villeneuve-dAscq won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 638:541 (average 70.9:60.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ESB Villeneuve-dAscq
Euroleague Women
27.11.24	Zaragoza - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	68:59 ✺
French LFB
23.11.24	Roche Vendée - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	71:82 ✺
Euroleague Women
20.11.24	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq - CCC Polkowice	100:83 ✺
French LFB
17.11.24	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq - Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud	64:67 ✺
02.11.24	Bourges Basket - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	88:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL
- Tarbes Gespe Bigorre
Eurocup Women
28.11.24	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Iraklis	106:39
French LFB
23.11.24	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Lattes Montpellier	61:71 ✺
Eurocup Women
20.11.24	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Atomerőmű Szekszárd	86:53 ✺
French LFB
17.11.24	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Lyon	73:61 ✺
02.11.24	Landerneau Bretagne - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	62:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French LFB
07.01.24	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	63:67
23.09.23	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	50:74
25.04.23	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	88:91 OT
29.01.23	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	84:55
19.03.22	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	51:60
French Cup Basketball Women
21.01.22	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	68:69
Eurocup Women
01.12.21	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	86:51

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