Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday


	East Carolina Pirates		Southern Methodist Mustangs

	1	2
	2.5	1.56
	2.55	1.53
	2.5	1.56	Watch
	2.52	1.55
	2.52	1.56
	2.5	1.5
	2.47	1.58
	2.55	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.86)	1.54 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 137.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Carolina Pirates
38%

Southern Methodist Mustangs
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Carolina Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in East Carolina Pirates's performance.

Southern Methodist Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southern Methodist Mustangs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Carolina Pirates than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern Methodist Mustangs than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

East Carolina Pirates - Southern Methodist Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:71

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches East Carolina won 1.

Recent matches East Carolina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Southern Methodist is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

East Carolina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Southern Methodist will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches East Carolina won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 1109-1391.

Including matches at home between the teams East Carolina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 427-522.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Carolina Pirates basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.24	Temple Owls - East Carolina Pirates	62:73 ✺
07.01.24	East Carolina Pirates - Tulsa Golden Hurricane	62:57 ✺
02.01.24	Florida Atlantic Owls - East Carolina Pirates	79:64 ✺
29.12.23	East Carolina Pirates - East Tennessee State Buccaneers	70:86 ✺
20.12.23	East Carolina Pirates - Delaware State Hornets	79:50 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW
- Southern Methodist Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
07.01.24	Memphis Tigers - Southern Methodist Mustangs	62:59 ✺
02.01.24	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Charlotte 49ers	66:54 ✺
22.12.23	Murray State Racers - Southern Methodist Mustangs	65:92 ✺
19.12.23	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Houston Christian Huskies	89:53 ✺
16.12.23	Florida State Seminoles - Southern Methodist Mustangs	57:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
19.02.23	Southern Methodist Mustangs - East Carolina Pirates	86:70
04.02.23	East Carolina Pirates - Southern Methodist Mustangs	77:72
12.02.22	East Carolina Pirates - Southern Methodist Mustangs	66:80
08.02.21	East Carolina Pirates - Southern Methodist Mustangs	56:71
16.12.20	Southern Methodist Mustangs - East Carolina Pirates	70:55
22.01.20	Southern Methodist Mustangs - East Carolina Pirates	84:64
11.01.20	East Carolina Pirates - Southern Methodist Mustangs	71:68

East Carolina Pirates - Southern Methodist Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide