Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 22 December 2023, Friday


	Murray State Racers		Southern Methodist Mustangs

	1	2
	3	1.41
	3	1.4
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.92	1.42
	3	1.41
	3	1.36
	2.77	1.43	Watch
	2.9	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.38)	1.4 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 142.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murray State Racers
32.2%

Southern Methodist Mustangs
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murray State Racers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murray State Racers's form might have worsened.

Southern Methodist Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southern Methodist Mustangs's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murray State Racers than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murray State Racers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern Methodist Mustangs than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southern Methodist Mustangs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Murray State Racers - Southern Methodist Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:74

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Preview

Murray State has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Southern Methodist is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murray State could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Murray State have a series of guest games.

In this match Southern Methodist is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murray State Racers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.12.23	Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans - Murray State Racers	80:66 ✺
16.12.23	Murray State Racers - Southeastern Louisiana Lions	55:61 ✺
13.12.23	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Murray State Racers	84:81 ✺
09.12.23	Austin Peay Governors - Murray State Racers	53:49 ✺
03.12.23	Illinois State Redbirds - Murray State Racers	76:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Southern Methodist Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.12.23	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Houston Christian Huskies	89:53 ✺
16.12.23	Florida State Seminoles - Southern Methodist Mustangs	57:68 ✺
06.12.23	Arizona State Sun Devils - Southern Methodist Mustangs	76:74 ✺
03.12.23	Southern Methodist Mustangs - East Texas A&M Lions	90:47 ✺
29.11.23	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Dayton Flyers	63:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWL

Murray State Racers - Southern Methodist Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide