Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	East Tennessee State Buccaneers		Samford Bulldogs

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.33	3.1
	1.36	3.29
	1.39	2.83	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.3	3.47
	1.36	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.41)	3.21 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Tennessee State Buccaneers
70.5%

Samford Bulldogs
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Tennessee State Buccaneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in East Tennessee State Buccaneers's performance.

Samford Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samford Bulldogs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Tennessee State Buccaneers than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with East Tennessee State Buccaneers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samford Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samford Bulldogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers - Samford Bulldogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:70

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, East Tennessee State won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, East Tennessee State is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, East Tennessee State won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1466:1394. (average 73.3:69.7).

Including home matches between the teams, East Tennessee State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 695:640. (average 77.2:71.1).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Samford: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Tennessee State Buccaneers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.02.26	East Tennessee State Buccaneers - Chattanooga Mocs	73:61 ✺
07.02.26	Virginia Military Keydets - East Tennessee State Buccaneers	70:87 ✺
04.02.26	East Tennessee State Buccaneers - Furman Paladins	75:71 OT ✺
01.02.26	Wofford Terriers - East Tennessee State Buccaneers	72:86 ✺
29.01.26	East Tennessee State Buccaneers - Western Carolina Catamounts	88:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Samford Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.02.26	Samford Bulldogs - Wofford Terriers	97:80 ✺
07.02.26	Samford Bulldogs - Mercer Bears	69:49 ✺
05.02.26	Samford Bulldogs - Citadel Bulldogs	78:64 ✺
01.02.26	Western Carolina Catamounts - Samford Bulldogs	74:88 ✺
29.01.26	Furman Paladins - Samford Bulldogs	78:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	Samford Bulldogs - East Tennessee State Buccaneers	75:76
08.02.25	East Tennessee State Buccaneers - Samford Bulldogs	66:59
18.01.25	Samford Bulldogs - East Tennessee State Buccaneers	60:65
11.03.24	Samford Bulldogs - East Tennessee State Buccaneers	76:69
24.02.24	Samford Bulldogs - East Tennessee State Buccaneers	87:71
27.01.24	East Tennessee State Buccaneers - Samford Bulldogs	72:75
04.02.23	Samford Bulldogs - East Tennessee State Buccaneers	73:62

East Tennessee State Buccaneers - Samford Bulldogs