Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday


	Samford Bulldogs		Citadel Bulldogs

	1	2
	1.07	9.5
	1.08	8.5
	1.09	6.25
	1.09	8.12
	1.09	6.21	Watch
	1.1	7
	1.11	6.5
	1.09	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.1)	7.51 ↑ (6.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samford Bulldogs
87.3%

Citadel Bulldogs
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.1%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samford Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Citadel Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Samford Bulldogs - Citadel Bulldogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:66

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samford won 5.

In recent matches, Samford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Citadel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Samford is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Samford won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1673:1483. (average 83.7:74.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Samford won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 885:775. (average 80.5:70.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samford Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
01.02.26	Western Carolina Catamounts - Samford Bulldogs	74:88 ✺
29.01.26	Furman Paladins - Samford Bulldogs	78:73 ✺
24.01.26	Samford Bulldogs - Chattanooga Mocs	75:64 ✺
21.01.26	Wofford Terriers - Samford Bulldogs	88:78 ✺
17.01.26	Samford Bulldogs - East Tennessee State Buccaneers	75:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL
- Citadel Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	Citadel Bulldogs - UNC Greensboro Spartans	71:66 OT ✺
29.01.26	Citadel Bulldogs - Virginia Military Keydets	80:56 ✺
23.01.26	East Tennessee State Buccaneers - Citadel Bulldogs	84:55 ✺
21.01.26	Citadel Bulldogs - Furman Paladins	77:75 OT ✺
17.01.26	Virginia Military Keydets - Citadel Bulldogs	68:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
01.02.25	Citadel Bulldogs - Samford Bulldogs	58:83
01.01.25	Samford Bulldogs - Citadel Bulldogs	86:56
02.03.24	Samford Bulldogs - Citadel Bulldogs	92:80
06.01.24	Citadel Bulldogs - Samford Bulldogs	64:80
11.02.23	Samford Bulldogs - Citadel Bulldogs	76:70
31.12.22	Citadel Bulldogs - Samford Bulldogs	63:75
21.02.22	Samford Bulldogs - Citadel Bulldogs	76:74

Samford Bulldogs - Citadel Bulldogs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide