Match Info

Date: 31 October 2021, Sunday


	Ermis Agias		Iraklis

	1	2
	1.71	2.2
	1.57	2.3
	1.6	2.33
	1.64	2.12
	1.71	2.15
	1.71	2.19
	1.65	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.56)	2.22 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermis Agias
57.3%

Iraklis
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermis Agias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Iraklis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermis Agias than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iraklis than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ermis Agias - Iraklis Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ermis Agias will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Iraklis will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iraklis: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:74

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Preview

Ermis Agias is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Iraklis has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ermis Agias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ermis Agias will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ermis Agias won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 597-649.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermis Agias won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 304-318.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermis Agias Larissa
Greek Basket League A1
23.10.21	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	91:77 ✺
17.10.21	Ermis Agias - Lavrio	66:75 ✺
09.10.21	AEK Athens - Ermis Agias	81:69 ✺
02.10.21	Ermis Agias - Kolossos Rodou	81:77 OT (69:69) ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
22.09.21	Ionikos Nikaias - Ermis Agias	74:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL
- Iraklis Thessaloniki BC
FIBA Europe Cup
27.10.21	Mornar Bar - Iraklis	88:65 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
24.10.21	Iraklis - Olympiacos Piraeus	90:96 OT (78:78) ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
20.10.21	Iraklis - Bahcesehir Koleji	63:64 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
16.10.21	PAOK - Iraklis	72:69 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
13.10.21	Leiden - Iraklis	71:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
11.04.21	Ermis Agias - Iraklis	80:76
02.01.21	Iraklis - Ermis Agias	73:69
25.01.20	Iraklis - Ermis Agias	83:67
19.10.19	Ermis Agias - Iraklis	74:87
Greek Elite League Basketball
13.04.19	Iraklis - Ermis Agias	96:87
22.12.18	Ermis Agias - Iraklis	91:86 OT (76:76)
03.02.18	Ermis Agias - Iraklis	59:69

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