Match Info

Date: 23 June 2022, Thursday

Location: Dimitris Tofalos Arena (Patras)


	Promitheas Patras		Ermis Agias

	1	2
	1.5	2.7
	1.53	2.5
	1.48	2.63
	1.49	2.44
	1.51	2.45
	1.5	2.5
	1.46	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.56)	2.56 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Promitheas Patras
63.1%

Ermis Agias
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Promitheas Patras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Ermis Agias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Promitheas Patras than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Promitheas Patras that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermis Agias than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ermis Agias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias Predictions

Users Predictions: Promitheas Patras will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79

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Preview

5th leg. Series tied 2-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Promitheas won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Promitheas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Promitheas won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 900-866.

Including matches at home between the teams Promitheas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 468-464.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASP Promitheas Patras
Greek Basket League A1
21.06.22	Ermis Agias - Promitheas Patras	76:94 ✺
18.06.22	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	83:78 ✺
15.06.22	Ermis Agias - Promitheas Patras	88:84 ✺
12.06.22	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	78:89 ✺
04.06.22	Olympiacos Piraeus - Promitheas Patras	106:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL
- Ermis Agias Larissa
Greek Basket League A1
21.06.22	Ermis Agias - Promitheas Patras	76:94 ✺
18.06.22	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	83:78 ✺
15.06.22	Ermis Agias - Promitheas Patras	88:84 ✺
12.06.22	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	78:89 ✺
08.06.22	Panathinaikos - Ermis Agias	89:43 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
21.06.22	Ermis Agias - Promitheas Patras	76:94
18.06.22	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	83:78
15.06.22	Ermis Agias - Promitheas Patras	88:84
12.06.22	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	78:89
11.05.22	Ermis Agias - Promitheas Patras	84:77
23.10.21	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	91:77
Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.21	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	73:81

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