Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ermis Agias		Lavrio

	1	2
	2.35	1.64
	2.25	1.6
	2.15	1.7
	2.24	1.58
	2.3	1.63
	2.43	1.59
	2.31	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermis Agias
41.5%

Lavrio
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermis Agias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ermis Agias's form might have worsened.

Lavrio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lavrio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermis Agias than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lavrio than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Ermis Agias - Lavrio Predictions

Users Predictions: Ermis Agias will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:79

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ermis Agias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ermis Agias won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 231-225.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermis Agias won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 58-66.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermis Agias Larissa
Greek Basket League A1
09.10.21	AEK Athens - Ermis Agias	81:69 ✺
02.10.21	Ermis Agias - Kolossos Rodou	81:77 OT (69:69) ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
22.09.21	Ionikos Nikaias - Ermis Agias	74:66 ✺
18.09.21	Ermis Agias - Aris	68:67 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.21	Promitheas Patras - Ermis Agias	73:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLWW
- Lavrio BC
Greek Basket League A1
10.10.21	Lavrio - Olympiacos Piraeus	72:108 ✺
Champions League Basketball
05.10.21	Lavrio - Dijon	65:63 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
02.10.21	PAOK - Lavrio	73:89 ✺
Greek Super Cup Basketball
26.09.21	Lavrio - AEK Athens	67:86 ✺
25.09.21	Panathinaikos - Lavrio	74:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
28.04.21	Lavrio - Ermis Agias	81:75
11.01.21	Ermis Agias - Lavrio	58:66
28.12.19	Lavrio - Ermis Agias	78:98

Ermis Agias - Lavrio