Match Info

GREECE: Elite League - Round 14

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday


	Ermis Schimatari		Papagou

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.53	2.27
	1.51	2.42
	1.53	2.32	Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.47	2.41
	1.53	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.7)	2.32 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermis Schimatari
60.3%

Papagou
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermis Schimatari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ermis Schimatari's performance.

Papagou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Papagou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermis Schimatari than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ermis Schimatari that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Papagou than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Papagou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ermis Schimatari - Papagou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:76

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ermis Schimatari will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ermis Schimatari won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 245:242 (average 81.7:80.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Ermis Schimatari won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 179:152 (average 89.5:76).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermis Schimatari
Greek Elite League Basketball
14.12.24	Megaridas - Ermis Schimatari	107:67 ✺
07.12.24	Ermis Schimatari - Eleftheroupoli Kavalas	82:66 ✺
30.11.24	Mykonos - Ermis Schimatari	98:70 ✺
24.11.24	Ermis Schimatari - Doxa Lefkadas	74:67 ✺
16.11.24	Proteas Voulas - Ermis Schimatari	109:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWL
- Papagou BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
14.12.24	Papagou - Esperos Kallitheas	70:75 ✺
07.12.24	HANTH - Papagou	88:77 ✺
01.12.24	Vikos - Papagou	73:75 ✺
23.11.24	Papagou - Megaridas	74:81 ✺
16.11.24	Eleftheroupoli Kavalas - Papagou	88:96 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
23.03.24	Papagou - Ermis Schimatari	90:66
16.12.23	Ermis Schimatari - Papagou	83:75
11.02.23	Ermis Schimatari - Papagou	96:77

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