Match Info

Super Lig - Round 4

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sinan Erdem Dome (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 5
Turkey	19:00	beIN Sports 5


	Esenler Erokspor		Anadolu Efes Pilsen

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.48
	2.18	1.60	Watch
	2.11	1.61
	2.25	1.56	Watch
	2.08	1.59
	2.40	1.54
	2.35	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.23)	1.55 (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esenler Erokspor
40.8%

Anadolu Efes Pilsen
59.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esenler Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Anadolu Efes Pilsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esenler Erokspor than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anadolu Efes Pilsen than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Esenler Erokspor - Anadolu Efes Pilsen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Esenler Erokspor (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Esenler Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Arna E. (C)	20. Fernando B.
4. Davis Jr M.	17. Malcolm C.
12. Sow A.	23. Mutaf D.
1. Van Der Vuurst K.	5. Saric D.
10. Yebo K.	32. Strazel M.
Substitutes
0. Aksu A.	88. Jones K.
41. Akyel M.	2. Karutasu D.
3. McCollum E.	24. Osmani E.
17. Tunca E.	11. Russell D.
8. Usher J.	19. Yildizli B.
9. Webb J. III	33. Yilmaz E. (C)
77. Yasar M.	4. Yusta S.
Coaches
. Sarica U.	. Laso P.

Preview

Esenler Erokspor has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Anadolu Efes has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Esenler Erokspor could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Anadolu Efes holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Esenler Erokspor has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 243:244 (averaging 81:81.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Esenler Erokspor against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 90:79 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Anadolu Efes	5	4	1	428:386	9
4	Esenler Erokspor	5	4	1	428:414	9

Outrights of Turkish Basketball Super Ligi for now

Anadolu Efes: 20.65% Esenler Erokspor: 1.89%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esenler Erokspor Basketball
FIBA Europe Cup
14.10.26	Rilski Sportist - Esenler Erokspor	62:94 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
10.10.26	Tofaş - Esenler Erokspor	79:87 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
07.10.26	Esenler Erokspor - Gəncə	92:63 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
03.10.26	Esenler Erokspor - Petkim Spor	96:87 ✺
28.09.26	Körfez - Esenler Erokspor	88:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Anadolu Efes Pilsen
Euroleague
16.10.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	70:85 ✺
14.10.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Bayern München	93:101 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
11.10.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Denizli Basket	85:76 ✺
Euroleague
09.10.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	89:66 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
04.10.26	Bordo - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	79:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
04.09.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Esenler Erokspor	75:77
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
17.01.26	Esenler Erokspor - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	90:79
26.09.25	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Esenler Erokspor	90:76

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