Match Info

PORTUGAL: LPB - ROUND 12

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira (Esgueira) 🌤️ ...


	Esgueira		Portimonense

	1	2
	2.2	1.57
	2.13	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.68
	2.18	1.68
	2.3	1.57
	2.18	1.64
	2.18	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.5)	1.62 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esgueira
42.4%

Portimonense
57.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.2%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esgueira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esgueira's performance.

Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portimonense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Esgueira - Portimonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:80

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Preview

Esgueira is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Portimonense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Esgueira could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Portimonense have a series of guest games.

Portimonense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Esgueira won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 78-85.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esgueira Basket
Portuguese LPB
28.12.23	Esgueira - Povoa	72:80 ✺
16.12.23	Lusitânia - Esgueira	89:83 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
09.12.23	Esgueira - Vitória de Guimarães	78:66 ✺
Portuguese LPB
02.12.23	Esgueira - Sporting Lisbon	68:105 ✺
25.11.23	Ovarense - Esgueira	75:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLL
- Portimonense Basketball
Portuguese LPB
30.12.23	Benfica - Portimonense	100:67 ✺
16.12.23	Portimonense - Oliveirense	68:69 ✺
03.12.23	Porto - Portimonense	88:75 ✺
01.12.23	Vitória de Guimarães - Portimonense	72:64 ✺
25.11.23	Povoa - Portimonense	81:74 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
23.09.23	Portimonense - Esgueira	85:78

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esgueira Basket
Portuguese LPB
31.10.26	Esgueira - CAQ Queluz	✺

Esgueira - Portimonense