Match Info

Korisliiga

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tapiolan Liikuntahalli (Espoo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	18:30	Ruutu+


	Espoon Honka		Lahti Basketball

	1	2
	1.45	2.50
	1.48	2.55
	1.52	2.55
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.50	2.50
	1.46	2.62
	1.49	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	2.53 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espoon Honka
63%

Lahti Basketball
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espoon Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Lahti Basketball has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espoon Honka than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti Basketball than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Espoon Honka - Lahti Basketball Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Faulkner T.	33. Barr J.
0. Ferguson A.	44. Carver A.
2. Peltoniemi A.	8. Korhonen R.
7. Taylor L.	7. Luukkonen E. (C)
5. Williams T.	4. Williams D.
Substitutes
12. Eerikinharju E.	16. Kaivos J.
10. Juusela J.	10. Nyman V.
1. Kallio L. (C)	95. Peltonen K.
6. Laavainen A.	12. Threadgill J.
3. Pihlajamaki T.	2. Yli-Junnila T.
25. Tuomi I.
4. Ulander V.
Coaches
. Heinonen A.	. Turunen T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Honka won 2.

Honka has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Lahti have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lahti may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Honka holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Honka in today's match, at odds of 1.39.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Honka has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 560:564 (averaging 93.3:94 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Honka against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 257:258 goals (averaging 85.7:86 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Honka	7	5	2	705:681	10
7	Lahti Basketball	7	3	4	592:609	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espoon Honka
Finnish Korisliiga
10.10.26	Joensuun Kataja - Espoon Honka	99:108 ✺
06.10.26	Espoon Honka - Pyrinto Tampere	97:96 OT ✺
03.10.26	Espoon Honka - Kouvot Kouvola	99:91 ✺
29.09.26	Salon Vilpas - Espoon Honka	103:104 ✺
Finnish Cup Basketball
16.09.26	Espoon Honka - Kouvot Kouvola	84:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWWWL
- Lahti Basketball
Finnish Korisliiga
14.10.26	Lahti Basketball - Kouvot Kouvola	91:83 ✺
07.10.26	Lahti Basketball - Joensuun Kataja	91:85 ✺
02.10.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Lahti Basketball	76:70 ✺
Finnish Cup Basketball
19.09.26	Lahti Basketball - Joensuun Kataja	73:77 ✺
15.09.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Lahti Basketball	85:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
19.12.25	Lahti Basketball - Espoon Honka	96:87
18.10.25	Espoon Honka - Lahti Basketball	105:87
03.03.23	Lahti Basketball - Espoon Honka	120:115 OT
01.02.23	Espoon Honka - Lahti Basketball	81:95
27.11.22	Lahti Basketball - Espoon Honka	90:101
01.10.22	Espoon Honka - Lahti Basketball	71:76

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