Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 8

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Estela		Burgos

	1	2
	1.77	1.91	Watch
	1.7	2	Watch
	1.69	2.17
	1.73	1.89	Watch
	1.67	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.73)	2.01 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estela
54%

Burgos
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estela than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Estela - Burgos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Hernandez P.	5. Jackson M.
32. Johnson R.	10. Parrado A.
34. Kande G.	35. Seoane R.
24. Perez J.	8. Terins F.
8. Rodriguez S.	13. Vila R.
Substitutes
21. de la Llama B.	33. Alonso A.
23. Lutete IV C.	60. Alonso A.
10. Martinez G.	31. Brown-Ferguson J.
2. Powell J.	21. Gil G.
6. Taboada C.	24. Huelves A.
11. Yu Jiahao	55. Jofresa G.
	25. Zidek J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estela won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Burgos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Estela will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Estela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 465:513. (average 77.5:85.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Estela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 150:174. (average 75:87).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estela
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
01.11.25	Estela - Melilla	76:72 ✺
25.10.25	Estela - Ourense	87:65 ✺
18.10.25	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Estela	90:75 ✺
11.10.25	Estela - Palencia	58:107 ✺
04.10.25	Obradoiro CAB - Estela	82:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WWLLW
- CB Burgos
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
08.11.25	Obradoiro CAB - Burgos	93:68 ✺
31.10.25	Burgos - Gipuzkoa Basket	81:73 ✺
25.10.25	Burgos - Básquet Coruña	82:97 ✺
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
22.10.25	CB Zaragoza - Burgos	78:92 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
18.10.25	Oviedo - Burgos	93:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
31.01.25	Burgos - Estela	90:89
15.12.24	Estela - Burgos	83:80
04.05.24	Estela - Burgos	67:94
18.11.23	Burgos - Estela	93:84
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
16.03.22	Burgos - Estela	86:73
12.10.19	Burgos - Estela	70:69

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