Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 21

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Estela		Gipuzkoa Basket

	1	2
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	2.6	1.4	Watch
	3.01	1.38
	2.63	1.42	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.44)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estela
34.1%

Gipuzkoa Basket
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Gipuzkoa Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estela than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gipuzkoa Basket than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gipuzkoa Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Estela - Gipuzkoa Basket Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Estela (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Alderete D.	10. Ansorregui M.
32. Johnson R.	24. Arroyo-Varela I.
10. Martinez G.	2. Hanzlik O.
8. Rodriguez S.	12. Nicolau J.
11. Yu Jiahao	1. Tate J.
Substitutes
15. Hernandez P.	22. Korsantia G.
34. Kande G.	11. Maiza G.
31. Lapornik M.	13. Mcghie B.
9. Lugarini B.	9. Motos M.
2. Powell J.	0. Ngom T.
6. Taboada C.	6. Zubizarreta A.
7. Van Oostrum D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estela won 0.

Recent form of Estela has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gipuzkoa Basket is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gipuzkoa Basket may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gipuzkoa Basket is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Estela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 545:629. (average 77.9:89.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Estela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 271:286. (average 90.3:95.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Estela	2	2	0	157:144	4
9	Gipuzkoa	2	1	1	168:166	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estela
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
11.02.26	Estela - Oviedo	79:87 ✺
07.02.26	Menorca - Estela	89:81 ✺
31.01.26	Estela - Cartagena	78:72 ✺
18.01.26	Estudiantes - Estela	81:74 ✺
10.01.26	Estela - Palmer Basket	73:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL
- Gipuzkoa Basket
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
11.02.26	Gipuzkoa Basket - Burgos	93:65 ✺
07.02.26	Cartagena - Gipuzkoa Basket	64:84 ✺
01.02.26	Gipuzkoa Basket - Estudiantes	73:66 ✺
17.01.26	Menorca - Gipuzkoa Basket	71:64 ✺
11.01.26	Gipuzkoa Basket - Oviedo	72:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
28.12.25	Gipuzkoa Basket - Estela	88:77
16.03.25	Estela - Gipuzkoa Basket	101:108 OT
29.12.24	Gipuzkoa Basket - Estela	83:60
06.04.24	Estela - Gipuzkoa Basket	96:106 OT
29.12.23	Gipuzkoa Basket - Estela	76:67
05.02.23	Gipuzkoa Basket - Estela	96:70
16.10.22	Estela - Gipuzkoa Basket	74:72

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