Match Info

Date: 12 August 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Estonia		Belgium

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	2.5	1.47
	2.38	1.47
	2.27	1.58
	2.5	1.5
	2.44	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.85)	1.51 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estonia
38.4%

Belgium
61.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estonia's performance.

Belgium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgium might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estonia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estonia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgium than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgium could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Estonia - Belgium Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Estonia will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Belgium will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belgium: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:78

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Preview

Estonia has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Belgium is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estonia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Belgium will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Estonia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 170-250.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estonia basketball
Friendly International Basketball
07.08.22	Lithuania - Estonia	90:88 ✺
04.08.22	Lithuania - Estonia	84:70 ✺
World Championship Basketball
03.07.22	Israel - Estonia	96:77 ✺
30.06.22	Estonia - Germany	57:88 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
17.06.22	Estonia - Finland	74:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLT
- Belgium basketball
Friendly International Basketball
10.08.22	Belgium - Germany	83:87 ✺
06.08.22	Finland - Belgium	80:71 ✺
04.08.22	Finland - Belgium	71:75 ✺
World Championship Basketball
04.07.22	Serbia - Belgium	73:74 ✺
30.06.22	Belgium - Slovakia	102:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
07.09.18	Estonia - Belgium	55:68
06.09.18	Estonia - Belgium	60:98
EuroBasket
06.09.15	Estonia - Belgium	55:84

Estonia - Belgium