Match Info

WORLD: OLYMPIC GAMES - QUALIFICATION - PRELIMINARY - ROUND 3

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Tondiraba Ice Hall (Tallinn)


	Israel		Estonia

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.55	2.45
	1.55	2.3
	1.58	2.29
	1.53	2.38
	1.59	2.39
	1.51	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.86)	2.4 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Israel
60.9%

Estonia
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Israel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Israel's performance.

Estonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estonia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Israel than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Israel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estonia than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estonia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Israel - Estonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Israel will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Estonia will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estonia: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:75

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Israel won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Israel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Israel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Israel won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 559-470.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Israel basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball
13.08.23	Israel - Czech Republic	80:67 ✺
12.08.23	North Macedonia - Israel	65:86 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
05.08.23	Ukraine - Israel	75:69 ✺
04.08.23	Netherlands - Israel	66:66 ✺
29.07.23	Israel - Iceland	79:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLTL
- Estonia basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball
13.08.23	Estonia - North Macedonia	83:59 ✺
12.08.23	Czech Republic - Estonia	77:74 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
09.08.23	Estonia - Finland	80:86 ✺
04.08.23	Hungary - Estonia	71:85 ✺
03.08.23	Hungary - Estonia	73:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
03.07.22	Israel - Estonia	96:77
28.11.21	Estonia - Israel	69:79
25.02.18	Estonia - Israel	78:62
24.11.17	Israel - Estonia	88:68
Friendly International Basketball
25.08.16	Israel - Estonia	76:69
27.08.15	Israel - Estonia	74:56
EuroBasket
02.09.12	Estonia - Israel	53:84

Israel - Estonia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide