Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Second round - Round 2

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Unibet Arena (Tallinn) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	19:00	Ruutu+
International	16:00	FIBA TV


	Estonia		Finland

	1	2
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	3.10	1.34
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.36	1.27
	3.32	1.31	Watch
	3.15	1.27
	3.31	1.31	Watch
	3.45	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (4.67)	1.31 ↑ (1.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Estonia
28.7%

Finland
71.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.5%

80.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estonia's performance.

Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Finland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Estonia - Finland Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Estonia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Finland will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:89

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Drell H. Joventut Badalona	18. Jantunen M. Fenerbahce
34. Konontsuk A. Bursaspor Durmazlar	1. Little M. UC Santa Barbara
15. Kotsar M. Yokohama	23. Markkanen L. Utah Jazz
77. Kullamae K. Lietkabelis	13. Nkamhoua O. Varese
2. Raieste S. Murcia	19. Valtonen E. Fundacion Granada
Substitutes
13. Hermet K. Dijon	25. Amzil M. Trepca
35. Ilver M. Tartu Ulikool	16. Blomgren P. Syntainics MBC
21. Joesaar J. KK Bosna	14. Kantonen H. Joensuun Kataja
25. Riismaa J. Derthona Tortona	20. Madsen A. AS Karditsas
18. Suurorg K. Trefl Sopot	21. Maxhuni E. Gravelines-Dunkerque
9. Tass M. SK Legia Warszawa	35. Seppala I. Kecskemeti TE
3. Treier K. Basket Napoli
Coaches
. Rannula H.	. Tuovi L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estonia won 0.

Estonia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Finland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Finland is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Estonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 581:670. (average 72.6:83.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estonia basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.08.26	Hungary - Estonia	85:67 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
22.08.26	Italy - Estonia	83:61 ✺
20.08.26	Lithuania - Estonia	108:110 OT ✺
World Championship Basketball
06.07.26	Czech Republic - Estonia	75:73 ✺
03.07.26	Estonia - Slovenia	93:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWLW
- Finland basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.08.26	Finland - Sweden	81:86 ✺
06.07.26	France - Finland	98:69 ✺
03.07.26	Finland - Hungary	85:77 ✺
01.03.26	Finland - Belgium	78:75 ✺
27.02.26	Belgium - Finland	66:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
09.08.23	Estonia - Finland	80:86
World Championship Basketball
14.11.22	Finland - Estonia	91:71
28.08.22	Estonia - Finland	68:76
Friendly International Basketball
17.06.22	Estonia - Finland	74:74
30.07.20	Finland - Estonia	75:67
29.07.20	Finland - Estonia	97:76
25.06.18	Finland - Estonia	95:76

Estonia - Finland