Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 6

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Palais des Sports de Pau (Pau) 🌤️ ...


	France		Finland

	1	2
	1.30	3.25	Watch
	1.30	3.30
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.25	3.45
	1.3	3.26	Watch
	1.24	3.40
	1.29	3.43
	1.26	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.12)	3.44 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

France
73%

Finland
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.6%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that France's form might have worsened.

Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Finland's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

France - Finland Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. France will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Finland will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:81

#ad

Lineups


99. Coulibaly B. Washington Wizards	22. Adler S. Salon Vilpas
00. Francisco S. Zalgiris Kaunas	25. Amzil M. Trepca
27. Gobert R. Minnesota Timberwolves	30. Gustavson A. Oostende
34. Hoard J. Maccabi Tel Aviv	18. Jantunen M. Fenerbahce
3. Luwawu-Cabarrot T. Saski Baskonia	1. Little M. UC Santa Barbara
5. Mokoka A. JL Bourg	20. Madsen A. AS Karditsas
20. Noua A. Aris	23. Markkanen L. Utah Jazz
0. Okobo E. AS Monaco	21. Maxhuni E. Gravelines-Dunkerque
42. Raynaud M. Sacramento Kings	13. Nkamhoua O. Varese
21. Risacher Z. Atlanta Hawks	9. Salin S. Estudiantes
85. Strazel M. AS Monaco	35. Seppala I. Kecskemeti TE
7. Yabusele G. Chicago Bulls	19. Valtonen E. Fundacion Granada
Coaches
. Fauthoux F.	. Tuovi L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 2.

In this match, France is a strong favorite.

There will not play in France: Sarr A. (Toe Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, France won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 651:637. (average 81.4:79.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France basketball
World Championship Basketball
03.07.26	Belgium - France	72:80 ✺
01.03.26	France - Hungary	98:79 ✺
27.02.26	Hungary - France	71:74 ✺
01.12.25	Finland - France	83:76 ✺
28.11.25	France - Belgium	79:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWLW
- Finland basketball
World Championship Basketball
03.07.26	Finland - Hungary	85:77 ✺
01.03.26	Finland - Belgium	78:75 ✺
27.02.26	Belgium - Finland	66:71 ✺
01.12.25	Finland - France	83:76 ✺
28.11.25	Hungary - Finland	89:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
01.12.25	Finland - France	83:76
21.02.19	Finland - France	76:69
16.09.18	France - Finland	83:67
EuroBasket
31.08.17	France - Finland	84:86 OT (72:72)
05.09.15	France - Finland	97:87 OT (81:81)
Friendly International Basketball
01.08.15	Finland - France	76:67
23.08.14	France - Finland	74:69

France - Finland