Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Fairfield Stags		Manhattan Jaspers

	1	2
	1.46	2.6
	1.47	2.55
	1.49	2.71
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.51	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)	2.56 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fairfield Stags
63.3%

Manhattan Jaspers
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fairfield Stags has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fairfield Stags's form might have worsened.

Manhattan Jaspers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manhattan Jaspers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fairfield Stags than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manhattan Jaspers than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Fairfield Stags - Manhattan Jaspers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:72

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fairfield won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Manhattan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fairfield is a strong favorite.

We predict that Fairfield will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fairfield won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1342:1306. (average 67.1:65.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fairfield won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 676:654. (average 67.6:65.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fairfield Stags basketball
NCAA College Basketball
01.03.26	Fairfield Stags - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	47:69 ✺
27.02.26	Fairfield Stags - Siena Saints	72:58 ✺
22.02.26	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Fairfield Stags	79:85 ✺
20.02.26	Fairfield Stags - Sacred Heart Pioneers	78:68 ✺
15.02.26	St. Peters Peacocks - Fairfield Stags	83:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWL
- Manhattan Jaspers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
01.03.26	Manhattan Jaspers - Iona Gaels	65:69 ✺
27.02.26	St. Peters Peacocks - Manhattan Jaspers	75:65 ✺
20.02.26	Manhattan Jaspers - Marist Red Foxes	70:84 ✺
15.02.26	Canisius Golden Griffins - Manhattan Jaspers	65:69 ✺
13.02.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Manhattan Jaspers	69:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
14.01.26	Fairfield Stags - Manhattan Jaspers	98:62
05.12.25	Manhattan Jaspers - Fairfield Stags	70:66
16.02.25	Fairfield Stags - Manhattan Jaspers	67:80
23.01.25	Manhattan Jaspers - Fairfield Stags	84:87 OT
04.02.24	Fairfield Stags - Manhattan Jaspers	77:68
21.01.24	Manhattan Jaspers - Fairfield Stags	75:82
19.02.23	Fairfield Stags - Manhattan Jaspers	72:73

Fairfield Stags - Manhattan Jaspers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide