Match Info

NCAA

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Quinnipiac Bobcats		Fairfield Stags

	1	2
	1.32	3.3
	1.32	3.15
	1.35	2.97	Watch
	1.33	3.2
	1.34	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)	3.17 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quinnipiac Bobcats
70.4%

Fairfield Stags
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quinnipiac Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Quinnipiac Bobcats's performance.

Fairfield Stags has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fairfield Stags might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quinnipiac Bobcats than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quinnipiac Bobcats that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fairfield Stags than the current prediction. (+18.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fairfield Stags could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Quinnipiac Bobcats - Fairfield Stags Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:71

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quinnipiac won 3.

Quinnipiac is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fairfield has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fairfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Quinnipiac is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Quinnipiac won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1503:1473. (average 75.2:73.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Quinnipiac won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 627:589. (average 78.4:73.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quinnipiac Bobcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
15.02.26	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Merrimack Warriors	49:56 ✺
13.02.26	Siena Saints - Quinnipiac Bobcats	62:74 ✺
07.02.26	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Niagara Purple Eagles	56:55 ✺
05.02.26	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Canisius Golden Griffins	75:60 ✺
01.02.26	Fairfield Stags - Quinnipiac Bobcats	65:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW
- Fairfield Stags basketball
NCAA College Basketball
20.02.26	Fairfield Stags - Sacred Heart Pioneers	78:68 ✺
15.02.26	St. Peters Peacocks - Fairfield Stags	83:74 ✺
07.02.26	Fairfield Stags - Marist Red Foxes	63:60 ✺
05.02.26	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Fairfield Stags	87:92 ✺
01.02.26	Fairfield Stags - Quinnipiac Bobcats	65:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
01.02.26	Fairfield Stags - Quinnipiac Bobcats	65:72
08.03.25	Fairfield Stags - Quinnipiac Bobcats	83:74
31.01.25	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Fairfield Stags	81:69
23.02.24	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Fairfield Stags	81:85
28.01.24	Fairfield Stags - Quinnipiac Bobcats	64:66
02.03.23	Fairfield Stags - Quinnipiac Bobcats	92:82
03.02.23	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Fairfield Stags	66:51

Quinnipiac Bobcats - Fairfield Stags: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide