Match Info

NBB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Maracanãzinho (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Zivieri N. (Bra)


	Flamengo		Brasília Basquete

	1	2
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.26	3.3
	1.28	3.79
	1.35	2.97
	1.29	3.5
	1.28	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	3.36 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
72.2%

Brasília Basquete
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Brasília Basquete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flamengo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasília Basquete than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasília Basquete could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Flamengo - Brasília Basquete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Baralle F. A.	11. Cardoso B.
1. Deodato	7. Corvalan F.
18. Doria L.	2. Crescenzi K.
23. Kayo Manfio	30. Daniel
44. Negrete A.	13. Paulichi R.
Substitutes
2. Cummings M.	77. Beller
7. Dos Santos J.	9. da Silva P.
13. Emanuel Fernades	14. Silva B.
92. Gueiros M.	6. Silva G.
12. Igor Andrade	27. Zago
22. Johnson S.
21. Wesley
Coaches
. Pereira F.	. Barbosa D.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flamengo won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1795:1470. (average 89.8:73.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Flamengo won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 910:689. (average 91:68.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Flamengo - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 69.48%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo Basketball
Brazilian NBB
08.05.26	Flamengo - Brasília Basquete	83:66 ✺
05.05.26	Brasília Basquete - Flamengo	85:80 ✺
30.04.26	Flamengo - União Corinthians	104:77 ✺
27.04.26	União Corinthians - Flamengo	77:90 ✺
25.04.26	União Corinthians - Flamengo	84:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL
- Brasília Basquete
Brazilian NBB
08.05.26	Flamengo - Brasília Basquete	83:66 ✺
05.05.26	Brasília Basquete - Flamengo	85:80 ✺
30.04.26	Brasília Basquete - Caxias do Sul	71:70 ✺
27.04.26	Caxias do Sul - Brasília Basquete	66:63 ✺
25.04.26	Caxias do Sul - Brasília Basquete	70:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
08.05.26	Flamengo - Brasília Basquete	83:66
05.05.26	Brasília Basquete - Flamengo	85:80
25.03.26	Brasília Basquete - Flamengo	89:87
20.11.25	Flamengo - Brasília Basquete	83:85
08.04.25	Brasília Basquete - Flamengo	79:88
07.12.24	Flamengo - Brasília Basquete	90:84
17.02.24	Brasília Basquete - Flamengo	74:86

Flamengo - Brasília Basquete: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide