Match Info

LFB Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Guinguette Arena (Charleville-Mezieres)


	Flammes Carolo		Tarbes Gespe Bigorre

	1	2
	1.59	2.18
	1.58	2.17	Watch
	1.49	2.47
			Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.59	2.24	Watch
	1.58	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	2.21 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flammes Carolo
58.2%

Tarbes Gespe Bigorre
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flammes Carolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Tarbes Gespe Bigorre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flammes Carolo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarbes Gespe Bigorre than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Flammes Carolo - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:69

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brochant N.	7. Droguet C. (C)
10. Chevaugeon S.	25. Fora N.
34. Clarke T.	94. Mendy M.
6. Dongue L.	11. Musa M.
2. Franchelin C.	13. Zodia J.
Substitutes
14. Akomatsri H.	2. Cooper T.
3. Bankole O.	14. Ewodo M.
4. Bouderra A. (C)	77. Miyem E.
22. Chidom O.	17. Sivka A.
16. Raimbault M.	8. Strunc I.
Coaches
. Yernaux R.	. Gomez F.

Preview

1st leg result: 60-56. 2nd leg./

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flammes Carolo won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tarbes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Flammes Carolo has had a series of away games.

Flammes Carolo could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Flammes Carolo will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flammes Carolo won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1426:1272. (average 71.3:63.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Flammes Carolo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 780:626. (average 78:62.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flammes Carolo Basket
French LFB
30.04.25	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Flammes Carolo	56:60 ✺
French Cup Basketball Women
26.04.25	Bourges Basket - Flammes Carolo	67:70 ✺
French LFB
23.04.25	Lattes Montpellier - Flammes Carolo	80:68 ✺
18.04.25	Flammes Carolo - Lattes Montpellier	90:72 ✺
06.04.25	Lyon - Flammes Carolo	86:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWLWL
- Tarbes Gespe Bigorre
French LFB
30.04.25	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Flammes Carolo	56:60 ✺
22.04.25	Bourges Basket - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	79:82 ✺
17.04.25	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Bourges Basket	74:76 ✺
06.04.25	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Avenir Basket Chartres	84:66 ✺
30.03.25	Basket Landes - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	90:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French LFB
30.04.25	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Flammes Carolo	56:60
French Cup Basketball Women
01.03.25	Flammes Carolo - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	75:74
French LFB
11.01.25	Flammes Carolo - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	79:67
05.10.24	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Flammes Carolo	73:55
02.03.24	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Flammes Carolo	69:63
24.01.24	Flammes Carolo - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	73:53
15.04.23	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Flammes Carolo	75:81

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