Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Florida Gators		Vanderbilt Commodores

	1	2
	1.24	3.9
	1.23	3.8
	1.29	3.81
	1.25	3.6	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.26	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)	3.81 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florida Gators
75.3%

Vanderbilt Commodores
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florida Gators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Vanderbilt Commodores has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florida Gators than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Florida Gators that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanderbilt Commodores than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vanderbilt Commodores could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Florida Gators - Vanderbilt Commodores Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:76

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Florida won 3.

Florida has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vanderbilt is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Florida is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Florida won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1502:1405. (average 75.1:70.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Florida won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 810:740. (average 73.6:67.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florida Gators basketball
NCAA College Basketball
13.03.26	Florida Gators - Kentucky Wildcats	71:63 ✺
07.03.26	Kentucky Wildcats - Florida Gators	77:84 ✺
03.03.26	Florida Gators - Mississippi State Bulldogs	108:74 ✺
28.02.26	Florida Gators - Arkansas Razorbacks	111:77 ✺
25.02.26	Texas Longhorns - Florida Gators	71:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW
- Vanderbilt Commodores basketball
NCAA College Basketball
13.03.26	Vanderbilt Commodores - Tennessee Volunteers	75:68 ✺
07.03.26	Tennessee Volunteers - Vanderbilt Commodores	82:86 ✺
03.03.26	Ole Miss Rebels - Vanderbilt Commodores	86:89 OT ✺
28.02.26	Kentucky Wildcats - Vanderbilt Commodores	91:77 ✺
25.02.26	Vanderbilt Commodores - Georgia Bulldogs	88:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	Vanderbilt Commodores - Florida Gators	94:98
04.02.25	Florida Gators - Vanderbilt Commodores	86:75
09.03.24	Vanderbilt Commodores - Florida Gators	79:78
24.02.24	Florida Gators - Vanderbilt Commodores	77:64
25.02.23	Vanderbilt Commodores - Florida Gators	88:72
11.02.23	Florida Gators - Vanderbilt Commodores	80:88
01.03.22	Vanderbilt Commodores - Florida Gators	78:82

Florida Gators - Vanderbilt Commodores: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide