Match Info

Serie A2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: PalaDozza (Bologna)


	Fortitudo Bologna		Cantù

	1	2
	1.63	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.6	2.13	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.61	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.7)	2.2 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortitudo Bologna
57.7%

Cantù
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortitudo Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Cantù has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortitudo Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantù than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Fortitudo Bologna - Cantù Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:73

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Bolpin R.	21. Basile G.
21. Fantinelli M.	10. De Nicolao A.
33. Freeman D.	22. Hogue D.
5. Gabriel K.	25. McGee T.
16. Mian F.	11. Piccoli M.
Substitutes
4. Aradori P.	9. Moraschini R.
7. Battistini L.	66. Okeke L.
2. Bonfiglioli L.	24. Riismaa J.
12. Cusin M.	8. Rossi F.
0. Ferrucci Morandi F.	7. Valentini F.
11. Panni A.
43. Sabatini G.
Coaches
. Caja A.	. Brienza N.

Preview

Cantu leads series 2-1. 4th leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortitudo Bologna won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cantù may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fortitudo Bologna might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fortitudo Bologna won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 581:584. (average 72.6:73).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortitudo Bologna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 226:193. (average 75.3:64.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortitudo Bologna
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
15.05.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Cantù	77:68 ✺
12.05.25	Cantù - Fortitudo Bologna	81:67 ✺
10.05.25	Cantù - Fortitudo Bologna	72:64 ✺
06.05.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Basket Pesaro	94:85 ✺
27.04.25	Libertas Livorno - Fortitudo Bologna	66:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW
- Pallacanestro Cantu
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
15.05.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Cantù	77:68 ✺
12.05.25	Cantù - Fortitudo Bologna	81:67 ✺
10.05.25	Cantù - Fortitudo Bologna	72:64 ✺
27.04.25	Cantù - Vigevano	75:79 ✺
19.04.25	Avellino Basket - Cantù	76:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
15.05.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Cantù	77:68
12.05.25	Cantù - Fortitudo Bologna	81:67
10.05.25	Cantù - Fortitudo Bologna	72:64
29.01.25	Fortitudo Bologna - Cantù	74:57
13.11.24	Cantù - Fortitudo Bologna	89:60
Italian Lega A Basketball
25.04.21	Fortitudo Bologna - Cantù	75:68
02.01.21	Cantù - Fortitudo Bologna	67:80

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