Match Info

ACB - Round 25

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Pavelló Barris Nord (Lleida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Força Lleida CE		Canarias

	1	2
	2.35	1.51	Watch
	2.42	1.54	Watch
	2.54	1.54
	2.22	1.63
	2.25	1.57
	2.54	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.36)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Força Lleida CE
39.5%

Canarias
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Força Lleida CE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Canarias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Força Lleida CE than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canarias than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Força Lleida CE - Canarias Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Força Lleida will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Canarias will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Canarias: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Força Lleida (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Canarias (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Pauli O.	15. Sastre J.
3. Ejim M.	42. Doornekamp A.
12. Diagne A.	35. Guerra F.
4. Agada C.	11. Scrubb T.
6. Garcia D.	9. Huertas M.
Substitutes
1. Batemon J.	21. Abromaitis T.
52. Dabo I.	33. Alderete H.
25. Krutwig C.	3. Fernandez J.
13. Rodriguez A.	6. Fitipaldo B.
14. Sanz M.	31. Giedraitis R.
22. Shurna J.	88. Mills P.
2. Walden C.	4. Van Beck W.
Coaches
. Encuentra G.	. Vidorreta T.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Força Lleida has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Canarias is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Canarias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Canarias might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Força Lleida won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 254:262. (average 84.7:87.3).

Including home match between the teams, Força Lleida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 72:84.

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Tenerife: 2.65% Forca Lleida: 0.68%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	Tenerife	2	1	1	160:156	2
13	Forca Lleida	2	1	1	186:194	2

Last Results with these Odds

Canarias - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.27%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Força Lleida CE
Spanish ACB League
28.03.26	Granada - Força Lleida CE	92:89 ✺
22.03.26	Força Lleida CE - Joventut Badalona	86:88 ✺
15.03.26	Real Madrid - Força Lleida CE	95:78 ✺
08.03.26	Baskonia - Força Lleida CE	93:90 ✺
15.02.26	Força Lleida CE - Girona	81:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CB Canarias
Champions League Basketball
01.04.26	Canarias - Galatasaray	84:83 ✺
Spanish ACB League
29.03.26	Canarias - Basket Zaragoza	99:76 ✺
21.03.26	Unicaja Malaga - Canarias	70:95 ✺
Champions League Basketball
17.03.26	Trieste - Canarias	82:76 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.03.26	Canarias - Valencia	89:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
10.01.26	Canarias - Força Lleida CE	87:94
18.05.25	Força Lleida CE - Canarias	72:84
07.12.24	Canarias - Força Lleida CE	91:88

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