Match Info

ACB - Round 22

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Pabellón Insular Santiago Martín (San Cristóbal de La Laguna)

Referee: Fernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport
France	DAZN France
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	SportKlub
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Canarias		Valencia

	1	2
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	3.05	1.36
	3.02	1.4
	2.75	1.43
	2.9	1.36
	2.95	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.77)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canarias
31.8%

Valencia
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canarias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canarias than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canarias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Canarias - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Doornekamp A.	0. Badio B.
3. Fernandez J.	6. Lopez-Arostegui X.
31. Giedraitis R.	8. Montero J.
35. Guerra F.	4. Pradilla J.
9. Huertas M.	3. Reuvers N.
Substitutes
21. Abromaitis T.	24. Costello M.
33. Alderete H.	5. De Larrea S.
16. Bordon D.	7. Key B.
6. Fitipaldo B.	10. Moore O.
24. Sangare M.	32. Nogues Gonzalez I.
11. Scrubb T.	2. Puerto J.
4. Van Beck W.	12. Sako N.
Coaches
. Vidorreta T.	. Martinez Sanchez P.

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canarias won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Valencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Valencia is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canarias won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1632:1737. (average 81.6:86.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Canarias won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 701:669. (average 87.6:83.6).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Valencia: 12.97% Tenerife: 2.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	Valencia	2	1	1	197:187	2
9	Tenerife	2	1	1	160:156	2

Last Results with these Odds

Valencia - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.24%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Canarias
Champions League Basketball
11.03.26	Canarias - Gran Canaria 2014	79:76 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.03.26	Basquet Manresa - Canarias	86:80 ✺
Spanish Basketball Cup
20.02.26	Baskonia - Canarias	91:81 ✺
Spanish ACB League
14.02.26	Canarias - CB Breogán	90:81 ✺
Champions League Basketball
10.02.26	Nymburk - Canarias	55:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW
- Valencia BC
Euroleague
12.03.26	Real Madrid - Valencia	96:79 ✺
Spanish ACB League
08.03.26	Valencia - UCAM Murcia	110:84 ✺
Euroleague
05.03.26	Valencia - Žalgiris Kaunas	91:87 ✺
26.02.26	Baskonia - Valencia	79:108 ✺
Spanish Basketball Cup
21.02.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	106:108 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
16.11.25	Valencia - Canarias	96:79
14.06.25	Canarias - Valencia	87:94
12.06.25	Valencia - Canarias	105:74
10.06.25	Valencia - Canarias	83:65
25.05.25	Canarias - Valencia	99:102
13.12.24	Valencia - Canarias	96:81
21.04.24	Valencia - Canarias	98:73

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