Match Info

WORLD: Olympic Games - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Accor Arena (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CT sport, Eurosport 2
Denmark	DR 2, DR TV, Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 2, TV5
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Eurosport 2
Greece	ERT 3
Hungary	Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 2, TVP Sport
Portugal	Eurosport 2
Romania	Eurosport 2
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Sweden	Kanal 5
World	Eurosport 6, Max


	France		Germany

	1	2
	2.75	1.48
	2.75	1.45
	2.8	1.45
	2.88	1.44
	2.78	1.46	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.75	1.48
	2.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (1.56)	1.46 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Olympic Games - Basketball with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

France
34.5%

Germany
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that France's form might have worsened.

Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Germany's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for France than the current prediction. (+26.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for France, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germany than the current prediction. (-26.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Germany, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.3%	0%	67.7%

France - Germany Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. France will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Germany will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Germany: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Batum N. (C) Los Angeles Clippers	42. Obst A. Bayern
8. Cordinier I. Virtus Bologna	17. Schroder D. (C) Brooklyn Nets
1. Ntilikina F. Partizan	10. Theis D. New Orleans Pelicans
32. Wembanyama V. San Antonio Spurs	7. Voigtmann J. Milano
7. Yabusele G. Real Madrid	9. Wagner F. Orlando Magic
Substitutes
6. Albicy A. Gran Canaria	0. Bonga I. Bayern
99. Coulibaly B. Washington Wizards	1. Da Silva O. Bayern
12. De Colo N. Lyon-Villeurbanne	5. Giffey N. Bayern
10. Fournier E. Detroit Pistons	4. Lo M. Milano
27. Gobert R. Minnesota Timberwolves	32. Thiemann J. Alba Berlin
26. Lessort M. Panathinaikos	13. Wagner M. Orlando Magic
85. Strazel M. AS Monaco	6. Weiler-Babb N. Bayern
Coaches
. Collet V.	. Herbert G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches France won 2.

Recent matches France is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Germany is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Germany will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches France won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1143-1097.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- France basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball
06.08.24	France - Canada	82:73 ✺
02.08.24	France - Germany	71:85 ✺
30.07.24	Japan - France	84:92 OT ✺
27.07.24	France - Brazil	78:66 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
21.07.24	France - Australia	82:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL
- Germany basketball
Olympic Games - Basketball
06.08.24	Germany - Greece	76:63 ✺
02.08.24	France - Germany	71:85 ✺
30.07.24	Brazil - Germany	73:86 ✺
27.07.24	Germany - Japan	97:77 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
22.07.24	USA - Germany	92:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Basketball
02.08.24	France - Germany	71:85
Friendly International Basketball
08.07.24	France - Germany	65:70
06.07.24	Germany - France	66:90
EuroBasket
01.09.22	France - Germany	63:76
29.11.20	France - Germany	86:74
21.02.20	Germany - France	83:69
World Championship Basketball
01.09.19	France - Germany	78:74

France - Germany: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide