Match Info

CIBACOPA

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gimnasio Luis Estrada Medina (Guasave) 🌤️ ...


	Frayles de Guasave		Ostioneros de Guaymas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2.07
	1.66	2.05	Watch
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)	2.07 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 189.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frayles de Guasave
55.3%

Ostioneros de Guaymas
44.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frayles de Guasave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Ostioneros de Guaymas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frayles de Guasave than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Frayles de Guasave that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostioneros de Guaymas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ostioneros de Guaymas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Frayles de Guasave - Ostioneros de Guaymas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostioneros (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:94

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Brito O.	12. Davis-McMurrin G.
1. Hodge D.	9. Isom Roberts T.
45. Monyyong R.	4. Jennings D.
4. Pal J.	3. Powell I.
0. Phipps T.	1. Spears A.
Substitutes
8. Jimenez R.	0. Adelodun O.
9. Jones J. (C)	7. Agbonkpolo M.
33. Martin M.	15. Bediako J.
2. Nelson S.	11. Calvillo O.
18. Tona A.	5. Gonzalez D.
	17. Lopez C.
	18. Rivera B.
Coaches
. Jamil A.	. McCarty W.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 2.

Guasave has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Ostioneros has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ostioneros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ostioneros has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Guasave won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1047:1064. (average 95.2:96.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Guasave won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 514:493. (average 102.8:98.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frayles de Guasave
Mexican CIBACOPA
10.04.26	Frayles de Guasave - Ostioneros de Guaymas	120:98 ✺
08.04.26	Frayles de Guasave - Pioneros de Los Mochis	116:95 ✺
07.04.26	Frayles de Guasave - Pioneros de Los Mochis	93:90 OT ✺
01.04.26	Zonkeys de Tijuana - Frayles de Guasave	70:80 ✺
31.03.26	Zonkeys de Tijuana - Frayles de Guasave	91:97 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWWWW
- Ostioneros de Guaymas
Mexican CIBACOPA
10.04.26	Frayles de Guasave - Ostioneros de Guaymas	120:98 ✺
08.04.26	Ostioneros de Guaymas - Ángeles CD México	109:108 ✺
07.04.26	Ostioneros de Guaymas - Ángeles CD México	104:103 ✺
28.03.26	Ostioneros de Guaymas - Rayos de Hermosillo	91:87 ✺
27.03.26	Ostioneros de Guaymas - Rayos de Hermosillo	95:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican CIBACOPA
10.04.26	Frayles de Guasave - Ostioneros de Guaymas	120:98
28.02.26	Ostioneros de Guaymas - Frayles de Guasave	83:78
27.02.26	Ostioneros de Guaymas - Frayles de Guasave	90:92
17.05.25	Ostioneros de Guaymas - Frayles de Guasave	108:103
16.05.25	Ostioneros de Guaymas - Frayles de Guasave	93:79
08.03.25	Frayles de Guasave - Ostioneros de Guaymas	84:77
07.03.25	Frayles de Guasave - Ostioneros de Guaymas	100:95

Frayles de Guasave - Ostioneros de Guaymas