Match Info

CBA

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Zuchang Gymnasium (Jinjiang)


	Fujian Xunxing		Guangzhou Long-Lions

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.45
	1.43	2.67	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.65	2.18	Watch
	1.48	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (2.91)	2.41 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fujian Xunxing
61.4%

Guangzhou Long-Lions
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fujian Xunxing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fujian Xunxing's performance.

Guangzhou Long-Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Long-Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fujian Xunxing than the current prediction. (-29.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fujian Xunxing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (+29.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Long-Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Fujian Xunxing - Guangzhou Long Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fujian will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Guangzhou will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Half - Guangzhou (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Guangzhou Long-Lions will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Fujian (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Guangzhou (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:92

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Lineups


44. Briscoe I.	23. Guohao C.
8. Brodziansky V.	8. Holiday J.
0. Jinyu L.	12. Li Xiangbo
12. Lingxuan Z.	4. Thomas E.
10. Li Y.	7. Weiyun S.
36. Mingzhen F.	21. Wenjie Zhang
27. Qingrui Z.	28. Wigginton L.
3. Trice T.	19. Xin Dayi X.
13. Wang Haidong	2. Xingliang Z.
41. Williams D.	11. Yancheng L.
16. Xihao Y.	35. Zhang Kedi
6. Zou Y.	5. Zhaoyao Y.
Coaches
. Kesar A.	. Mitchell N.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fujian won 1.

Fujian has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guangzhou has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fujian may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Guangzhou has had a series of away games.

In this match, Guangzhou is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fujian won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 2122:2174. (average 106.1:108.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fujian won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 975:1020. (average 108.3:113.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fujian Xunxing
CBA
23.12.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Fujian Xunxing	84:65 ✺
20.12.25	Zhejiang Golden Bulls - Fujian Xunxing	88:79 ✺
18.12.25	Fujian Xunxing - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	80:98 ✺
16.12.25	Fujian Xunxing - Jiangsu Dragons	104:80 ✺
13.12.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Fujian Xunxing	99:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Guangzhou Long-Lions
CBA
23.12.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	85:93 ✺
21.12.25	Jiangsu Dragons - Guangzhou Long-Lions	86:93 ✺
19.12.25	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	97:94 ✺
13.12.25	Sichuan Blue Whales - Guangzhou Long-Lions	66:81 ✺
Chinese CBA Club Cup
07.12.25	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions	80:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

CBA
27.03.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Fujian Xunxing	114:106
10.03.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Fujian Xunxing	109:101 OT
04.12.24	Fujian Xunxing - Guangzhou Long-Lions	96:111
27.10.24	Fujian Xunxing - Guangzhou Long-Lions	101:112
Club Friendly Basketball
03.10.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Fujian Xunxing	92:99
21.09.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Fujian Xunxing	62:108
CBA
02.04.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Fujian Xunxing	103:88

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