Match Info

CBA

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanxi Sports Center (Taiyuan) 🌤️ ...


	Shanxi Zhongyu		Guangzhou Long-Lions

	1	2
	1.07	7.5	Watch
	1.09	6.25
	1.09	6.36	Watch
	1.11	6
	1.1	6.1	Watch
	1.08	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.34)	6.54 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanxi Zhongyu
85.7%

Guangzhou Long-Lions
14.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanxi Zhongyu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shanxi Zhongyu's performance.

Guangzhou Long-Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Long-Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanxi Zhongyu than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shanxi Zhongyu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Long-Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long Lions Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangzhou (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:83

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Lineups


1. Chen Pengyudi	23. Guohao C.
11. Diallo H.	8. Holiday J.
2. Fall-Faye I.	12. Li Xiangbo
18. Han Peiyu	4. Thomas E.
3. Jia Mingru	7. Weiyun S.
17. Jiao H.	21. Wenjie Zhang
14. Knight	28. Wigginton L.
21. Liu C.	19. Xin Dayi X.
32. Liu Dong	2. Xingliang Z.
5. Nowell J.	11. Yancheng L.
6. Sedak Y.	29. Yingran W.
7. Yuan Shuai	5. Zhaoyao Y.
Coaches
. Jiang P.	. Mitchell N.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shanxi won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Shanxi has had a series of away games.

In this match, Shanxi is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shanxi won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2109:2108. (average 105.5:105.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Shanxi won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1106:1130. (average 100.5:102.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
8	Guangzhou	5	3	2	454:469	0.600
9	Shanxi Zhongyu	5	3	2	499:454	0.600

Outrights of CBA for now

Shanxi Zhongyu: 4.62%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanxi Zhongyu
CBA
30.12.25	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Shanxi Zhongyu	88:78 ✺
28.12.25	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangdong Southern Tigers	89:95 ✺
26.12.25	Qingdao DoubleStar - Shanxi Zhongyu	88:81 ✺
23.12.25	Nanjing Monkey King - Shanxi Zhongyu	77:103 ✺
21.12.25	Tianjin Ronggang - Shanxi Zhongyu	92:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW
- Guangzhou Long-Lions
CBA
30.12.25	Xinjiang Flying Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	94:76 ✺
28.12.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Jilin Northeast Tigers	87:74 ✺
26.12.25	Fujian Xunxing - Guangzhou Long-Lions	97:84 ✺
23.12.25	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	85:93 ✺
21.12.25	Jiangsu Dragons - Guangzhou Long-Lions	86:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese CBA Club Cup
07.12.25	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions	80:73
03.12.25	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions	85:82
CBA
20.01.25	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions	124:116
07.12.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu	104:130
12.01.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu	116:105
11.12.23	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions	94:105
13.01.23	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu	116:86

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