Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - WINNERS STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 5 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Sinan Erdem Dome (Istanbul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Galatasaray		Baskets Bonn

	1	2
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.52	2.61
	1.53	2.61
	1.53	2.38
	1.5	2.56	Watch
	1.46	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)	2.51 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galatasaray
62.5%

Baskets Bonn
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Galatasaray's performance.

Baskets Bonn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baskets Bonn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Galatasaray that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskets Bonn than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baskets Bonn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Galatasaray - Baskets Bonn Predictions

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Preview

Galatasaray is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bonn is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Galatasaray will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Galatasaray won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 76-89.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galatasaray Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
02.03.24	Türk Telekom BK - Galatasaray	90:92 ✺
Turkish Cup Basketball
13.02.24	Karşıyaka - Galatasaray	88:72 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
11.02.24	Galatasaray - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	92:95 ✺
Champions League Basketball
06.02.24	Ludwigsburg - Galatasaray	100:80 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
04.02.24	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	90:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL
- Baskets Bonn
German BBL
03.03.24	Bayern München - Baskets Bonn	90:81 ✺
14.02.24	Walter Tigers Tübingen - Baskets Bonn	82:92 ✺
10.02.24	Baskets Bonn - Ratiopharm Ulm	98:97 OT ✺
Champions League Basketball
07.02.24	Dijon - Baskets Bonn	62:72 ✺
German BBL
03.02.24	BCJ Hamburg - Baskets Bonn	80:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
23.01.24	Baskets Bonn - Galatasaray	89:76

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