Match Info

PORTUGAL: LPB - Round 13

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão do Caniço (Caniço)


	Galomar		Ovarense

	1	2
	2.65	1.4
			Watch
	2.29	1.51
	2.19	1.64	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.26	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.6)	1.53 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galomar
39.5%

Ovarense
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Ovarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galomar than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ovarense than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Galomar - Ovarense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Davis S.	2. Blaylock D.
23. Do T.	3. Pavicevic I.
27. Drumwright M.	14. Rahama L.
14. Durr M.	20. Teixeira G.
22. Sa N.	25. Thompson A.
Substitutes
8. Carreiras J.	9. Morais N. (C)
24. Diop M.	16. Silva J.
13. Gallina J.	13. Soeiro R.
3. Harden-Hayes M.	0. Woods A.
6. Macachi B.
21. Oliveira P. (C)
Coaches
. Manarte N.	. Silva J.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Galomar have a series of guest games.

Ovarense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Galomar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 294:335 (average 73.5:83.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Galomar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 64:79

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Galomar
Taca de Portugal Basketball
18.01.25	Casino Ginásio - Galomar	69:84 ✺
Portuguese LPB
12.01.25	Benfica - Galomar	80:66 ✺
04.01.25	CAQ Queluz - Galomar	76:67 ✺
21.12.24	Galomar - Esgueira	84:73 ✺
14.12.24	Sporting Lisbon - Galomar	84:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL
- Ovarense Basquetebol
Taca de Portugal Basketball
19.01.25	Esgueira - Ovarense	81:92 ✺
Portuguese LPB
11.01.25	Ovarense - CAQ Queluz	86:84 ✺
04.01.25	Ovarense - Esgueira	81:89 OT ✺
21.12.24	Ovarense - Imortal	87:71 ✺
14.12.24	Oliveirense - Ovarense	80:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
30.11.24	Ovarense - Galomar	87:78
27.04.24	Ovarense - Galomar	89:76
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
17.02.24	Ovarense - Galomar	80:76
Portuguese LPB
22.12.23	Galomar - Ovarense	64:79

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